Cloud Stalker: SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

Saturday, May 31, 2008

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
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000
WONT41 KNHC 311048
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008

...CORRECT SPELLING OF GUATEMALA...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FORMER
EASTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM ALMA...IS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF
HONDURAS NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN BELIZE. THE LOW IS MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD...AND THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM IS
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IF
THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE THIS MORNING. EVEN IF NO DEVELOPMENT
OCCURS...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER PORTIONS OF HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...
GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
so it begins, Tomorrow is the start of the atlantic hurricane season and already there is an area of disturbance. Right On!! I will be keeping an eye on this, however Florida has been dominated by an high pressure system giving us all the blue skies this month. That could keep the system away if it stays organized and develops into a depression. We will see.
For us here on the westcoast their is a good chance of showers from the west coast seabeeze, in the afternoon but it probably more to the south.
Thats all for me right now, I hope your enjoying your weekend!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

2 comments:

Debbie said...: Jess, I'm sure you are used to all this by now!

I love FL but don't know if I could deal with this. I lived at Wrightsville Beach for a year and although I love it, we watched for one hurricane and I was a nervous wreck. At least, until I got prepared!; June 2, 2008 at 7:54 AM
CloudStalker said...: I love it!! Being prepared lways is the key!! For me I have place to sed my family. I would stay behind unless it was a cat five. I want so badly to ride a storm out.
Thanks for stopping by!!!; June 2, 2008 at 10:52 AM

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HAIL (3/4 inch or greater)

Hail can cause significant damage to your vehicle, break windows and damage roofs of homes and businesses.
Hail can cause significant bodily injuries such as broken bones and even blindness if wind blown.
Softball (4.5 inches) sized hail was reported in Lake Wales, Florida on March 30, 1996.
Haildrifts, up to four feet deep of dime to nickel sized hail, occurred in low-lying areas near Zephyrhills, Florida on January 29, 1997.
Hailstones the size of softballs can fall at speeds faster than 100 mph

supercell

Supercells derive their rotation through tilting of horizontal vorticity (an invisible horizontal vortex) caused by wind shear. Strong updrafts lift the air turning about a horizontal axis and cause this air to turn about a vertical axis. This forms the deep rotating updraft, the mesocyclone.
A cap or capping inversion is usually required to form a downdraft of sufficient strength. The cap puts an inverted (warm-above-cold) layer above a normal (cold-above-warm) boundary layer, and by preventing warm surface air from sinking too far, allows one or both of the following:
Air below the cap warms and/or becomes more moist
Air above the cap cools
This creates a warmer, moister layer below a cooler layer, which is increasingly unstable (because warm air is less dense and tends to rise). When the cap weakens or moves, explosive development follows.
In North America, supercells usually show up on Doppler radar as starting at a point or hook shape on the southwestern side, fanning out to the northeast. The heaviest precipitation is usually on the southwest side, ending abruptly short of the rain-free updraft base or main updraft (not visible to radar). The rear flank downdraft, or RFD, carries precipitation counterclockwise around the north and northwest side of the updraft base, producing a "hook echo" that indicates the presence of a mesocyclone.