Cloud Stalker: Getting warmer with each day till the weekend

Monday, November 19, 2007

Getting warmer with each day till the weekend

The cold front that moved Thursday evening was fast, I got off a couple shots none very impressive but i like clouds over the sun so i thought i share this one,With in ten minutes of the front rushing by the temps dropped 10 degree's, Buy the morning temps in in the lower 40's ch Ch chilly!!

Saturday my hub and
i went on a small road trip to Homosassa springs to visit some friends. Nice big yard huge pines which I love!
My son loved it too!

Sunday I worked most of the day but looking at it, made me wish I could have gone on another excursion but I gotta make the money, and today my off day I need to give my house a good cleaning!!!
As for the Weather with each passing day it will get warmer and warmer.
Thanksgiving day they are saying it will be above normal temps but with another front coming down Thursday night Friday day is to be with cooler temps as for pops chances well i will let you read for your self
THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT THEN LIKELY
STALL OUT OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON FRIDAY AS ITS BECOMES PARALLEL TO
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST
BRIDGING ACROSS IT. THE STALLING FRONT COMBINED WITH WEAK PERTURBATIONS
MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND DEVELOPING OVERRUNNING WILL
SUPPORT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHEST POPS ~40% LIKELY TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ZONES
CLOSEST TO THE FRONT...TAPERING BACK TO ~30% NORTH.
So I think from that We wont see much of anything but clouds, but I'm not a meteorologist, but they also say this...The gfs
AND ECMWF ARE STILL EXHIBITING SOME DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO THE
OVERALL EVOLUTION AND IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM...SO FOR NOW WILL CAP POPS
~40% AND WILL WAIT TO SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOW OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. HOWEVER IF THE GFS TRENDS CONTINUE THEN HIGHER POPS WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED IN LATER FORECASTS.
So I am not the only who is not for sure! Gotta go my computer is going nutty..Frigging thing until next time....
Jess

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HAIL (3/4 inch or greater)

Hail can cause significant damage to your vehicle, break windows and damage roofs of homes and businesses.
Hail can cause significant bodily injuries such as broken bones and even blindness if wind blown.
Softball (4.5 inches) sized hail was reported in Lake Wales, Florida on March 30, 1996.
Haildrifts, up to four feet deep of dime to nickel sized hail, occurred in low-lying areas near Zephyrhills, Florida on January 29, 1997.
Hailstones the size of softballs can fall at speeds faster than 100 mph

supercell

Supercells derive their rotation through tilting of horizontal vorticity (an invisible horizontal vortex) caused by wind shear. Strong updrafts lift the air turning about a horizontal axis and cause this air to turn about a vertical axis. This forms the deep rotating updraft, the mesocyclone.
A cap or capping inversion is usually required to form a downdraft of sufficient strength. The cap puts an inverted (warm-above-cold) layer above a normal (cold-above-warm) boundary layer, and by preventing warm surface air from sinking too far, allows one or both of the following:
Air below the cap warms and/or becomes more moist
Air above the cap cools
This creates a warmer, moister layer below a cooler layer, which is increasingly unstable (because warm air is less dense and tends to rise). When the cap weakens or moves, explosive development follows.
In North America, supercells usually show up on Doppler radar as starting at a point or hook shape on the southwestern side, fanning out to the northeast. The heaviest precipitation is usually on the southwest side, ending abruptly short of the rain-free updraft base or main updraft (not visible to radar). The rear flank downdraft, or RFD, carries precipitation counterclockwise around the north and northwest side of the updraft base, producing a "hook echo" that indicates the presence of a mesocyclone.