Cloud Stalker: 93L/still trying

Friday, September 21, 2007

93L/still trying

Well so far Port Richey has received 1.42" at my house yesterday.
Worse case scenario= I'm at a friends house without my camera and what happens a beautiful shelf cloud moves in. No camera no picture.
At least we got rain, minor street flooding but that is all. (93l is moving north/northwest heading towards the panhandle, Louisiana area look out dew its coming your way(LOL)!!!for better forecasting on this event i would click on a link to your right(Jeff gammon's and Jenn again are doing a great job!
I had a couple of chase ops yesterday but with out proper knowledge and gear my chase stays close to home, as much as would love to chase patience is my new first name.
there is a 2% chance of tornadoes up in the panhandle today....sigh
I don't know how much more rain we will see from 93 here as the severe storms are off to the west(gulf waters) Its forecast to be a wet afternoon but watching the satellite views it looks like it will be all to the north..i guess we will see.I was right yesterday as i told my predictions to my friends( which is cool because who wants to look like an ass to their friends...lol
I'm too get my son ready for school, Have a great weekend and remember....
KEEP THOSE EYES TO THE SKY.....JESS
update: after further study my prediction is we will see no more rain from 93 but with the east coast seabreeze and the heating of the day we have good chance of storms this afternoon

1 comment:

Dewdrop said...: Thanks for the shout out. I appreicate that! I don't know how things will go for us today. I am anxious to see what happens with the soon to be Jerry.; September 21, 2007 at 10:04 AM

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HAIL (3/4 inch or greater)

Hail can cause significant damage to your vehicle, break windows and damage roofs of homes and businesses.
Hail can cause significant bodily injuries such as broken bones and even blindness if wind blown.
Softball (4.5 inches) sized hail was reported in Lake Wales, Florida on March 30, 1996.
Haildrifts, up to four feet deep of dime to nickel sized hail, occurred in low-lying areas near Zephyrhills, Florida on January 29, 1997.
Hailstones the size of softballs can fall at speeds faster than 100 mph

supercell

Supercells derive their rotation through tilting of horizontal vorticity (an invisible horizontal vortex) caused by wind shear. Strong updrafts lift the air turning about a horizontal axis and cause this air to turn about a vertical axis. This forms the deep rotating updraft, the mesocyclone.
A cap or capping inversion is usually required to form a downdraft of sufficient strength. The cap puts an inverted (warm-above-cold) layer above a normal (cold-above-warm) boundary layer, and by preventing warm surface air from sinking too far, allows one or both of the following:
Air below the cap warms and/or becomes more moist
Air above the cap cools
This creates a warmer, moister layer below a cooler layer, which is increasingly unstable (because warm air is less dense and tends to rise). When the cap weakens or moves, explosive development follows.
In North America, supercells usually show up on Doppler radar as starting at a point or hook shape on the southwestern side, fanning out to the northeast. The heaviest precipitation is usually on the southwest side, ending abruptly short of the rain-free updraft base or main updraft (not visible to radar). The rear flank downdraft, or RFD, carries precipitation counterclockwise around the north and northwest side of the updraft base, producing a "hook echo" that indicates the presence of a mesocyclone.