My ending of the year not so good

Mr. OJO Easter 04 to 12-28-07 RIP :(
Saturday my beloved bunny passed on to the great fields, where he is hopping freely.
I loved my bunny, he was so sweet and gentle never once bit anybody and always loved to be petted. I don't know how he died he was doing good in the morning I gave him his usual lovings in the morning went to a friends house in the afternoon and when I came home he was gone. HE is now resting beside Raven who passed in June. RIP little dude.
My car died on the same day, when it rains it pours. The car needs a starter but as everyone knows I lost my job this month too, so no denaro. What a month. UPDATE - 2:23pm. Yea my starter had a lifetime warranty no charge for a new one. I am glad my Hub opt for a more expensive starter now we don't have to worry. Whew!

Weather wise they still have the strong cold front coming in, it looks like Thursday will be the coldest Morning with a freeze warning for both Wednesday and Thursday. Please make sure you bring your animals in if they are outside!
There were no storms for us yesterday, we did get some rain early morning but the main action was north Florida and south Georgia. So it seems while the Dew is not around the tornadoes try to touch the ground. Sorry Dew :) So no action here its just gonna get cold, for a couple days then it warms back up while we wait for another to makes its way down.
That's all for this year, I hope its a great new year for all, be safe, don't drink and drive( you might hit a bump and spill your drink)and remember to always.....
KEPP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!!
JESS

No Storms/" DEWDROP" Comes to Florida

Yes the The DEWVOID is coming into Florida, so no worries for those who don't like WX weather. lol, really it is quite beautiful here in sunny Florida today's high reached 80*.
I took my son to the Park which is right off the water. The breeze was cool coming of the gulf we played hard but we never did break a sweat.
Christmas was nice, very peaceful. I am getting a little bored with all this wonderful weather. Here is our forecast presented by FDOERT

Pleasant day in store for most of the state Thursday...Cloudy but warmer across North Florida...Ocean swells along the Atlantic Coast continue an elevated risk of rip currents with a high risk of dangerous rip currents expected along the Panhandle...Chance of rain late tonight across the Panhandle.

Areas of dense fog and low clouds should lift by mid morning but high clouds will keep partly cloudy skies across the state today. The low clouds will be slower to move out of North Florida as a cold front weakens and dissipates over the area today. Only a few showers are associated with this front and any shower activity will continue to weaken today. These clouds continuing over the North Florida area will keep daytime highs cooler, but not as cool as previous days. Highs in the upper 60s and low 70s are expected across North Florida late this afternoon after the low clouds begin to lift. Weak high pressure over the Peninsula will keep it warmer with not as many clouds with temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s near and south of I-4.
Tonight high pressure over the Peninsula shifts east, turning winds to the east and southeast as another area of low pressure develops over western Texas and moves towards the Midwest States. This developing area of low pressure will help lift a weak warm front north from the Gulf of Mexico across the Florida Panhandle late tonight. Isolated showers will develop near this warm front with a few showers possible over portions of North Florida late tonight. Elsewhere, light winds and increasing moisture will lead to the development of areas of dense fog again late tonight across portions of the Peninsula. Overnight lows will range from the mid to upper 50s across North Florida and northern Central Florida to the mid and upper 60s across most of Central Florida and South Florida except extreme South Florida where low will only dip to the low 70s.

I have I have been watching the satellite and radar and reading the NWS forecast and it looks like another cold front will be pushing in at the beginning of the week with slight precept chances new years eve night. I just checked for an update and this was on the first line......MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE TO VERY COLD WEATHER EXPECTED LATER NEXT
WEEK...
and then this..GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS A STORM SUNDAY...AND THEN CONTINUED SHOWER ACTIVITY EVEN
INTO LATE TUESDAY.
ooh goody LOL I take it "Dew"will be home by then. HEEHEE I like the perhaps too cracked me up! Well that's all I got for today have a good one and remember...
KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!!!!
Jess :@)

we might see some rain tonight/so they say....

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF TAMPA BAY
OVERNIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE TAMPA BAY AND ADJACENT AREAS EARLY
FRIDAY MORNINGS. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
ISOLATED...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS.
but no naders, darn.
Its another night event anyways and i don't chase at night.
At the beginning of the week it was forecasted to be cold on Christmas, now that has all changed the cold front will dissipate before reaching us here in sunny Florida.
With only a 20% pops and a high of 73 it looks to be quite a beautiful day. Personally I would like it to be cold for Christmas. That's the only time I like it cold. Anyhow I re watched the Twister sister show and you know what? They did a damn good job making this series interesting and I swear Cullen just keeps getting cuter every time I watch it! I'm looking forward to next weeks and of course I cant wait to watch Dewdrops episode Jan.8th!!
well thats it for now have a great day!
Jess

Thoughts on the show

It was good, I am gonna have to say i am a little disappointed they didn't show more coverage of may 22, the hail, the birth of the super-cell and the sound of the inflow.
I have all the footage, thank GOD.
It is only what is a reality show, they wanted drama, which they got with Bill and Cullen. Them two could do their own show, I watch it! What a team them two make!!!
I would still do it all over again, just to be back in tornado ally.
If you want the real version of my best day just click here and here
All in all I think they did a good show, I realy enjoyed being out there. Brad and Maryanne and Bill and Cullen never made me feel like I was just a guest but a chaser and Peggy and Melanie The brightest Woman I have ever met let me be there student and the crew well they made me feel like a star.
Let me know what you thought if you saw the show.
Have a great day!
Jess

Tornado watch

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 739
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

TORNADO WATCH 739 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC001-003-007-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-053-057-065-067-
069-075-079-081-083-089-101-103-107-109-119-121-123-125-127-
161100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0739.071216T0240Z-071216T1100Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HERNANDO
HILLSBOROUGH JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LAKE LEVY MADISON
MANATEE MARION NASSAU
PASCO PINELLAS PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SUMTER SUWANNEE
TAYLOR UNION VOLUSIA

wish this was happening in the day so could chase it.

cooler weather approaching/wet over the weekend

I have been a little distracted this week, I missed my weekly Monday blog.
If you viewed my picture above you will see Sunday night 12/9/07 they shut the doors for good at my restaurant. Which has put my son's Christmas in jeopardy, I waited to long to Christmas shop, I was waiting for the added tips and bonuses I get from my customers, my bad. Now i can only hope and pray things will come together for my son. I have humbled myself and have ask for help. Who ever reads this please send a prayer that help comes. I have been all over the place seeking employment but now is not a good time. I know I will eventually find work but not in time for the holiday.
My spirit has not been broke and what does not kill me will only make me stronger!!
I don't want you to feel sorry for me I just need a prayer, but enough about that.

Now on to the weather.

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...

Busy WX weekend in store they say, sounds good to me! looks like most of the action will be Saturday night and Sunday morning, not so good with my camera which is going to heck. we have two main ingredients going on 1) large upper trough now moving across the Rockies and associated cold front. 2) remnants of Olga in the nw Caribbean.
All in all we shall see some rain!!! I love this though...WE`RE ANTICIPATING A SQUALL LINE WITH POSSIBLE
DAMAGE WINDS AND ISOLD TORNADOES WITH THE FRONTS PASSAGE. THE
WILD CARD MAY BE HOW WELL THE VORTICITY WITH OLGA REMNANTS HOLDS
IT IDENTITY ALONG THE FRONT.

Looks like I'm getting up early Sunday!!!!
Sunday night its gonna get cold for us here in Florida 40's for us 30's for interior.
so bring in the pets!! For those up north USA yea forty is freakin cold! We have been having highs in the middle 80's so a high in the 60's is BRRRRRRR. To cold for me that's why I live here, I like it 80 degrees!
I am hoping for some good cloud shots and of course I will share if I do.
For now I am off have a good weekend and remember.......
KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!
Jess
UPDATE: 11:09pm We got rain! I wanted to see if I could watch the meteor shower but it doesn't look like it will clear before I turn in.
Doesn't look like Jeff will get a good view ether. Oh well we could use the rain.
and it looks to stay around, this is from 8:15 updateTHIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND
SHOULD REMAIN OVER MY CENTRAL ZONES REST OF TONIGHT WITH LOWER
RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED AND 50 POPS LOOK GOOD THERE WITH 30 POPS
OVER SW FL AND THE NATURE COAST AS THE BOUNDARY WILL BE VERY SLOW
TO MOVE OVERNIGHT.
It sounds like great sleeping weather for me, and with that I bid you a good night.
Jess

wow what a great weekend

lets start with Saturday, Beautiful day high was about 80 with a nice cool breeze.
we headed to pinellas county, Honeymoon island. They have beautiful pine forest and osprey trail.

with lots of info on the way explaining what you might see.
I saw a bunch of osprey nest but no osprey.
I grew up in Dunedin and honeymoon island when i was a kid was called dog beach. The whole island was covered with pine tree's but now they have cleared most of them and have left only a few acres. I still remember all the hidden paths and showed boy one. He has been there many times before but it has been at last a year since are last visit so to him it was new all over again.
to me its like a hidden cove there is no place to stand when u get to the end so u have to peer out and enjoy the hidden treasure.
Magnificent!
I have a convertible so of course my top was down and cruising down the Dunedin causeway was a very nice treat. There is nothing like the smell of sea air!
yesterday i ha another special treat with the first of the clouds coming in with the cold front i was honored with a full rainbow.

Definitely a great way to end my weekend!

I don't have time to go into detail on the weather, today high is a chilly 66 low tonight in the higher forty's. You know Florida with each day the temps go up. I will post a more detail forecast later today. Have a great day !
Jess

cold front approaching/no change in day time highs

Weakening cold front approaches, but chance of rain with its is vertically Nil.
We might seem some very light showers if any at all.
Also temps will NOT be affected by this at all. Clouds will remain today so it wont feel as hot as yesterday. As the front moves south slowly losing its identity. high pressure will bridge across the boundary and winds will turn north and northeast by tonight.

coming back from dropping my son off this morning I watch as the front moved in. To the untrained eye you think it was gonna rain or maybe even storm.


I loving knowing whats really going on!!
Rain chances for the week are very low with day times high higher then normal.
The weekend for now looks too be quite beautiful with highs in the lower 80's.
The next fronts looks to be coming in next Monday but for right now I don't know if it will make this far south.

Bill Doms has some new promos for the up coming Twister sisters show on his blog, check it out Plus his blog Great sky of the north is very interesting to read! Another great weather blog is dewdrop's
blog "Flight of the South Georgia storm chaser".
For me it's off to work have a great week!!!
Jess

Rain? Thanksgiving? could be

Chances are, it will rain here on thanksgiving day I'm hoping we are not to far south but it looks like conditions could be just right for some percep. I just want some water for my trees and shrubs. I gave up on the lawn.
The cool front moving in Thursday evening will bring our temps down but not by much.
Its not gonna be extreme and its not gonna last from what im reading its gonna reach south Florida and Come back north as a warm front. Interesting...

AT THE SURFACE THE COOL FRONT
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY
Lots to learn I cant wait to read a weather discussion and understand all of it!

So... The Twister Sisters Show has its own website now, very exciting! (Just click on Twister Sisters for the link)
I made a promo and not just my voice It was quick but you see me. Dew too just before me she looked Blissful like me!
I can't believe it has already been 6 months, It all seems like yesterday too me.
Then again I do keep re watching my videos over and over again.

I hope everyone has a Great Thanksgiving as for me I have a lot To be Thankful for! And very Thankful I am!!!
Jess

copy and paste/ For sneak preview

http://static.we.tv/uploads/video/index.html?bcpid=296756391&bclid=229510201&bctid=1304953678
For some reasn I cant link this so just copy and paste for sneak preview of The Twister Sisters reality show.

Getting warmer with each day till the weekend

The cold front that moved Thursday evening was fast, I got off a couple shots none very impressive but i like clouds over the sun so i thought i share this one,With in ten minutes of the front rushing by the temps dropped 10 degree's, Buy the morning temps in in the lower 40's ch Ch chilly!!

Saturday my hub and
i went on a small road trip to Homosassa springs to visit some friends. Nice big yard huge pines which I love!
My son loved it too!
Sunday I worked most of the day but looking at it, made me wish I could have gone on another excursion but I gotta make the money, and today my off day I need to give my house a good cleaning!!!
As for the Weather with each passing day it will get warmer and warmer.
Thanksgiving day they are saying it will be above normal temps but with another front coming down Thursday night Friday day is to be with cooler temps as for pops chances well i will let you read for your self
THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT THEN LIKELY
STALL OUT OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ON FRIDAY AS ITS BECOMES PARALLEL TO
THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST
BRIDGING ACROSS IT. THE STALLING FRONT COMBINED WITH WEAK PERTURBATIONS
MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND DEVELOPING OVERRUNNING WILL
SUPPORT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ON FRIDAY WITH
HIGHEST POPS ~40% LIKELY TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ZONES
CLOSEST TO THE FRONT...TAPERING BACK TO ~30% NORTH.
So I think from that We wont see much of anything but clouds, but I'm not a meteorologist, but they also say this...The gfs
AND ECMWF ARE STILL EXHIBITING SOME DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO THE
OVERALL EVOLUTION AND IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM...SO FOR NOW WILL CAP POPS
~40% AND WILL WAIT TO SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOW OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO. HOWEVER IF THE GFS TRENDS CONTINUE THEN HIGHER POPS WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED IN LATER FORECASTS.
So I am not the only who is not for sure! Gotta go my computer is going nutty..Frigging thing until next time....
Jess

BRRRRRR!

Cold front moving in today Remains Dry with isolated pops from pasco north.
I am hoping a isolated shower pops over us today, some cloud shots would be nice!!
plus free water for the lawn would be helpful.
Tonight ladies and gentleman In my area if you are reading this its gonna be cold tonight dropping down to the 30s. Tomorrows high is 63 but there will be a wind chill and it will feel colder then it is.
No worries by Saturday we will be back up too 73 for the high and by the middle of the week back to the 80s. Florida weather gotta love it!
Well m off gotta get to work.. Have wonderful day and remember to bundle up tonight!
Jess

loving the Florida weather

Love being in Florida weather, yes indeed! 80* in the day mid 60s a night, Cant beat it. The Dry season is upon us and it doesn't it even seem we had a wet season.
And the way it seems we are doomed by a dry winter this year, so they say. I have seen some great winter storms with the cold front sliding down and the tropical warm air hitting it just right, my kind of weather there.
You might think i'm crazy but i am definitely one the those kind of people who want to be right there, Being in the TIV vehicle would be "THE BOMB". Yes indeed if ever i am giving the chance I would do it in a heart beat!
Extreme baby!! Many years from now when I have way more experience you bet I will try to get as close as i can and film the heck out of it!!
But it will be on my own forecasting I would never steal a storm from another. The chase is all about the forecasting that's what it makes the chase, I was only a guest of chasers I myself haven't had a real chase all my footage is based on Peggy and Melanie's forecasting. I will chase you can bet your sweet petunia's on that!

Weather wise look for the same kinda weather till Friday we have another cold front coming down rain chances are low with it but its look to get quite chilly. No beachen this weekend.Well time to hit the hay have a good week!!
Jess

so it wasnt the flu

Well I have been out the blog world for awhile, turns out it wasn't the flu i have been dealing with it is my kidneys with a trip to the e.r. i found out i have kidney stones which causes flu like symptoms until the pain full part of the passing of the stones, on top of that i have also be dealing with serve tendentious in yes my writing arm so after an entry my arm is in lots of pain so i took a break.
I missed blogging about tropical storm Noel"nole" but I watched and read everything I could she sure did reek some havoc on those in Haiti and Cuba. Jeff Gammons did a really great job on the coverage of this November storm.

Weather here well has been quite gorgeous blue skies today's temp right now is a chilling 54 degrees with the dew-point as low as 45 it looks like another front will makes its way down here by Wednesday, it doesnt look like any serve weather will accompany it.
I will be doing lots of studying this winter to prepare for the spring. Trying not to over do myself with all the information i am also trying to perfect my photographing skills. Hope all is well with everybody and have a great week!!

Jess

twister sister episode list

It seems today's yummy weather is going to be to the south and east today as the frontal boundary moves across the state. Yesterday morning I was awoken to loud claps of thunder so I did what every weather weenie would do I got up and went to the computer to check out the situation and low and behold my countie was tornado warned. Dewdrop tested me to warn me( and did a special blog just for me,go check it out she has a nice visual of the supercell that went right over me on radar)I thought for sure we had a touch down but the weather channel is calling it a funnel.
I love it when cold fronts come through!!
AC is off!!! yes!
I have been down the last week with the flu, today is the first day I feel half way normal i am gonna try to make it through work today.
Great news!!
Twister Sisters premieres on WeTV on Tuesday, Dec. 11 at 10 PM and airs every Tuesday for six weeks.

The shows are airing out of order. Here’s a list of who is in each episode.



Tuesday Dec 11 Chase 4

Guests: David, Dellene, and Destiny

Co-Chasers: Beau Gjerdingen & Eric Whitehill

Brad Nelson & Karen Miller


Tuesday Dec 18 Chase 3

Guests: Glenn & Heidi Gray, Jessika Bland

Co-Chasers: Bill & Cullen Doms

Brad Nelson & Marylynn Voth



Tuesday Dec 25 Chase 1

Guests: Cindy, Will & Terry Togstad

Co-Chasers: Beau Gjerdingen & Eric Whitehill

Brad Nelson & Marylynn Voth



Tuesday Jan 1 Chase 2

Guests: Meghan & Charles Gill, Dan McKenzie

Co-Chasers: Beau Gjerdingen & Eric Whitehill

Brad Nelson & Marylynn Voth



Tuesday Jan 8 Chase 5

Guests: Jenn & Ted Bilak, Mike Lizakowski

Co-chasers: Beau Gjerdingen & Eric Whitehill

Brad Nelson & Karen Miller


Tuesday Jan 15 Chase 6

Guests: Gary, Donna, Sara Busch

Co-chasers: Bill & Cullen Doms

Jon Van De Grift & Tony Laubach
Well goot get if im gonna make it in Have a great day too all!
Jess

This picture was taken May 21,07 Leaving Missouri onward to south Dakota
I loved the hills so beautiful! I have been feeling a little claustrophobic living here on Florida's peninsula wrapped by water and where everything is flat. No severe storms for my area all summer just a sub tropical system went over

what I want to see is a

yup A wall cloud.
I am hoping that with the next couple months and cold fronts trying to make it down here i will find what i am looking for:)

Today well it looks like it will be yet another hot and humid day this is what NWS had to say about it...
..HEAT IMPACT...
SWELTERING CONDITIONS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL RETURN THIS
AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST ABOVE 90
WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 55 PERCENT WILL CREATE
APPARENT TEMPERATURES AROUND 100. RESIDENTS SHOULD TREAT TODAY AS
A DAY IN LATE AUGUST OR EARLY SEPTEMBER BY DRINKING PLENTY OF
WATER BEFORE DURING AND AFTER ACTIVITY...AND WEARING LIGHTWEIGHT
AND LIGHT COLORED CLOTHING. THOSE MOST SENSITIVE TO HEAT SHOULD
REMAIN IN AIR CONDITIONED LOCATIONS TODAY.
and of course:SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. Story of my life
Maybe the next front will make it down(I'm not holding on any hope for it)
If anything exciting happens I will post, for now.....
KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!
Jess;@

Whew what a week

3" of rain fell last week in our small city of Port Richey, conditions ripe for severe weather made it all the more interesting. Now I truly no what a bust means, all the ingredients there but no action. well no tornadoes or hail or strong winds but we had a lightning strike right around the corner.
The cell I was watching moved in right over us producing .50" of rain there was no lighting until the cell moved over the gulf and the things got eletricfied.
I was in with my son and my husband just stepped outside to look at the sky( he has bitten by the weather bug too)The rain had already stopped and the sky was clearing.
suddenly out of nowhere BOOM!!! It sounded like a bomb dropped in the back yard, the whole house shook the windows rattled and I Let out a small scream.
I flew out to the garage before i got there my husband met me in the entrance shaking.
" I felt it, he said through my whole body, my whole body is tingling" he was wide eyed and I could tell he was pretty shaken up. We new it was a close strike.
Then another boom and another for about fifteen minutes it was consistent one right after another. as much as I wanted to go outside and film, my fear kept me inside.
Finely silence fell. The sky war was over.
I look out back and saw flashing lights I had too go see, so me and my camera went outside. Th first strike hit less then 500 feet from our house. It knocked over a light pole and went trough the ground rupturing a water pipe, water was spuing all over covering the road way.

I don't know where the other strikes hit but the sounds of sirens where ever where.
How anybody can get so close to lightning and photograph it, I dunno because i could not get enough courage to go outside during the event.
It was a great ending to a truly interesting week. The weekend was Hot and humid but no more rain fell. It doesnt look like this week will be even close to what last week held.
The tropics are quiet with this being said:The area of low pressure over the northwest Caribbean continues to be monitored by the National Hurricane Center for signs of tropical development. Thunderstorm activity has gradually increased, but the system remains disorganized. Weak winds aloft and warm sea surface temperatures are creating a more suitable environment for organization, and a reconnaissance aircraft may investigate the disturbance this afternoon if necessary. This system has moved very little toward the west or northwest due to very weak steering winds in the region. Current forecast models are not in the best agreement on the future track of this disturbance, but a slow west to northwest motion is expected during the next couple of days.
Also:TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 38W/39W S OF 13N ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING
W 15 KT. THIS LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO SEE SINCE
EMERGING OFF THE AFRICAN COAST...LIKELY A FEW DAYS AGO...AS IT
HAS BEEN EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINEAR ITCZ CLOUDINESS. THE WAVE IS
MORE VISIBLE ON THIS MORNING'S IMAGERY WITH THE ASSOCIATED DEEP
CLOUDINESS REACHING A POLEWARD CREST ALONG THE ANALYZED AXIS.
THE MIMIC TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A NARROW RATHER QUICK WWD MOVING
MOISTURE BUMP PERTURBING THE ITCZ...RELATED TO THIS WEAK
FEATURE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 210 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W S OF 20N MOVING W TO NW NEAR 10 KT. A
1010 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 18N. THIS LOW
ONLY CONSISTS OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS...AND IN FACT MAY BE OPENING
UP. WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL REMOVED TO
THE E OF THE WAVE FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 51W-53W...SHEARED OFF BY
STRONG UPPER SWLY FLOW. So there you have it, the tropics no that i'm not ready yet for a hurricane interception, mother nature is giving me the time I need to learn and be ready.lol well that's what I like to think.

As for today it looks to be a beautiful day this is what sert has to say:
With the state caught between a ridge of high pressure over the eastern U.S. and a broad area of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, winds will continue to be from the east today. These winds will still be quite brisk, particularly along the eastern peninsula coast where winds of 15-20 mph are expected. Such onshore winds will create a moderate to high threat of rip currents along the entire Florida Atlantic coast. In addition, there will be a moderate threat of rip currents along the western panhandle and Big Bend coast as easterly winds will cause a stronger current to run parallel to the beach. Beachgoers throughout Florida should heed warning signs, flags, and lifeguards.
The chance for rain will diminish greatly today as drier mid level air moves westward into the state. The best chance for rain will be in the Lower Keys and the panhandle during the afternoon, and only isolated activity is expected in both areas. An occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strike will be the main threat. The bigger issue today will be the heat and humidity. Highs this afternoon will reach the upper 80s to low 90s statewide. With abundant humidity, heat indices will climb into the mid to upper 90s. The heat index may reach 100 over portions of Southwest Florida, where near-record highs will be possible today and Tuesday. Overnight lows will be in the upper 60s to around 70, with mid 70s to near 80 south of Interstate 4.
I have to admit i am looking forward to some fall like temps, I would love to turn off my ac and open up the house. Not gonna happen this week but i am looking forward to it.
Well I'm too read dewdrops blog and see what Jeff Gammon's has to say. Have a beautiful week and remember KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!!
JESS...;)

meso discussion just for me

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2048
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT TUE OCT 02 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021657Z - 021900Z

TROPICAL AIR MASS WITH PW/S AROUND 2.25 WITH MUCAPES TO 2500
J/KG...HAVE SPREAD NWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL FL PENINSULA ON SLY FLOW
TO E OF SFC/UPR LOW OVER ERN GOM. WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR GENERALLY
25KT OR LESS...THE SFC-1KM SHEAR OF 20KT...PARTICULARLY CENTRAL FL
PENINSULA...SUPPORTS POTENTIAL ROTATING UPDRAFTS. ENHANCED LOW E/W
CONVERGENCE TPA TO MLB ALONG WITH DEVELOPING INLAND MOVING E COAST
SEA BREEZE FRONT SUGGESTS THAT THIS AREA WILL BE MOST FAVORED FOR
STRONG/ISOLATED STORMS THRU AFTERNOON HEATING PERIOD. ALONG WITH
WET MICRO-BURSTS...ONE OR TWO BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE

SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A WATCH BUT
AREA WILL BE MONITORED THRU THE AFTERNOON.


That would make my day, but without heating its not gonna happen the sun is just now coming out. Its been raining on of all day with most of the heavy perception in the early morning. I know i was in it, I had to be at work 7am and it was raining steady.
When i came home to check the rain amount it read .30" so not to much rain fell today.

That's all I have for now, I will update later if anything gets interesting.
Jess

"It's a little windy out there"

UPDATE:6:20pm
HOLY GOCKAMOLY CHEAK THIS OUT........
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
241 PM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-020100-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CEDAR KEY...CHIEFLAND...CRYSTAL RIVER...
INVERNESS...BUSHNELL...THE VILLAGES...BROOKSVILLE...SPRING HILL...
NEW PORT RICHEY...ZEPHYRHILLS...CLEARWATER...ST. PETERSBURG...
BRANDON...TAMPA...LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...BRADENTON...
WAUCHULA...SEBRING...AVON PARK...SARASOTA...VENICE...ARCADIA...
PORT CHARLOTTE...PUNTA GORDA...CAPE CORAL...FORT MYERS
241 PM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ALONG WITH SOME POSSIBLE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
FROM THE BAY AREA SOUTH OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE FLORIDA STRAITS NORTHEAST
TO THE BAHAMAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DEEPEN SOME AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. AS THIS LOW MOVES WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE GULF DEEP LAYERED
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL DRAW ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH INCREASING LARGE SCALE LIFT AND INCREASING WIND SHEAR PROFILES
WILL HELP TO INCREASE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
AND THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS LATER TONIGHT...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING
NORTH INTO WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THE PRESENT
TIME THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. IN ADDITION
INCREASING WIND SHEAR PROFILES WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT SOME
ISOLATED TORNADOES OR MARINE WATERSPOUTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE STRONGEST
STORMS OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

RESIDENTS...VISITORS...AND MARINERS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY. IF HAZARDOUS WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION...MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY. STAY TUNED TO YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS OR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE UPDATES AND OR WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

JCM
Oh my goodness...And me i have to be at work at 7am



Notice the big high (very high pressure and increasing) in the northeast. Winds rotate clockwise around the high and are getting pulled into the low in the central US. As the high gets stronger (or the low gets deeper, in some cases) the winds get faster. which just might be the case here. I just read in Jeff Gammon's blog that they are talking about a sub tropical system possibly developing off the southeast coast.
Peggy Willenberg(one of the Twistersisters) My Mentor has sent me my first weather text book "Meteorology Today-seventh edition"my journey into meteorology has now taken an interesting turn in to the academic world.
Se also sent me a book called "Weather forecasting hand book" By Tim Vasques
Peggy told me I cannot read this book until I fully understand the text book.
I can see why as I had to look through it,( its all greek to me)All of it is pretty much over my head, for now.
Peggy also sent me this heads up about the developing upper low:AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES EAST NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...A DEVELOPING UPPER LOW/SURFACE LOW NEAR
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL PROBABLY INHIBIT MOISTURE
RETURN...DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT. AT LEAST A LOCALIZED SEVERE
THREAT IN THE FORM OF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS COULD ACCOMPANY
SYSTEM OVER FLORIDA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN GULF/ SOUTH
ATLANTIC COAST STATES NEXT TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...BUT UNCERTAINTIES ARE
LARGE WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THE PRESENT TIME.
Maybe something more to look forward to this week. One never knows.
well im off to start my day, I hope you enjoy yours!
Always keeping my eyes to the sky....Jess

not what I anted to hear Willis

GULF OF MEXICO...
THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO IS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THIRTEEN LOCATED IN THE SW PORTION. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA
TO LA CRUZ. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES ABOVE FOR DETAILS. THE SFC LOW
S OF KEY WEST YESTERDAY HAS WEAKENED...AND A NEW LOW MAY BE
FORMING OFFSHORE CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE WRN ATLC. SEE THAT
SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. DRIER AIR IS FILTERING INTO THE E
GULF IN WAKE OF THE DEEP LAYER TROUGHING OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. IN FACT...BESIDES FOR T.D. 13 OVER THE FAR SW
PORTION...THE GULF IS PRETTY TRANQUIL THIS MORNING WITH A WEAK
SFC PRES GRADIENT N OF 23N AND ABUNDANT NLY FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN
RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE WRN PORTION AND THE TROUGHING OVER
FLORIDA. WILLIS

Now Karen is weakening also, due to shearing ahead of a trough.
I don't think we are going to see any tropical action in Florida(west coast) this year. south florida is getting all the rain action( go Jeff )
I am only in the beginning stages of learning so i shouldn't be to upset i don't even know how to track em yet, but still every since I got back from the plains I have been dting(wanting some mother nature action)
We received heavy rain yesterday for about fifteen minutes .60", no lightning just rain and it was inconvenient rain just as i was about to pick up my son from the buss stop the sky opened up and whoosh.

Now dry air is settleing in and all hopes to a great storm gone....for now.
so darn it, its looks like a nice day today highs in the lower 90's perfect beach day. If you like that sort of thing. So have a great day even though its not gonna storm and pray for Jesse that she(I) gets her storm sometime...
KEEP YOR EYES TO THE SKY JESS...

93L/still trying

Well so far Port Richey has received 1.42" at my house yesterday.
Worse case scenario= I'm at a friends house without my camera and what happens a beautiful shelf cloud moves in. No camera no picture.
At least we got rain, minor street flooding but that is all. (93l is moving north/northwest heading towards the panhandle, Louisiana area look out dew its coming your way(LOL)!!!for better forecasting on this event i would click on a link to your right(Jeff gammon's and Jenn again are doing a great job!
I had a couple of chase ops yesterday but with out proper knowledge and gear my chase stays close to home, as much as would love to chase patience is my new first name.
there is a 2% chance of tornadoes up in the panhandle today....sigh
I don't know how much more rain we will see from 93 here as the severe storms are off to the west(gulf waters) Its forecast to be a wet afternoon but watching the satellite views it looks like it will be all to the north..i guess we will see.I was right yesterday as i told my predictions to my friends( which is cool because who wants to look like an ass to their friends...lol
I'm too get my son ready for school, Have a great weekend and remember....
KEEP THOSE EYES TO THE SKY.....JESS
update: after further study my prediction is we will see no more rain from 93 but with the east coast seabreeze and the heating of the day we have good chance of storms this afternoon

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA AND A UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...NORTHERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT
THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SURFACE PRESSURES ARE SLOWLY FALLING AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A SUBTROPICAL OR A
TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS THE
DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD OVER FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
BRING SHOWERS...SQUALLS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTION
OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MOSAIC DOPPLER RADAR FROM
THE SE US SHOWS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
TSTMS ROTATING CYCLONICALLY MAINLY OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALONG SOUTH FLORIDA EAST COAST.

Wednesday, today Happy hump day its all down hill now.
The skies have been beautiful this week now i have a special interest 93l east of my state and its looks to go right over my area to find his strength in the gulf.
Weather is so complex, I think that's what i like about it so much .its like cooking you need just the right ingredients to make it all come together. the Low pressure is practically sitting right on top of my area and the tropical wave is off the east coast as the low pushes away it will bring the wave and once its in the gulf its anyone's ballgame. so will this be Tropical or sub tropical ether way it will be a learning lesson for me and fun to watch plus the cloud action should be amazing!
I chose some of my favorite pictures of the sky i took this week to share, i hope you enjoy.








Keep your eyes to the sky.....JESS

fighting to live/TS Ingrid

Well she made it, barely but she is now a storm. Will it become more? It really doesn't look like it with all the shearing that lies ahead check it out...
I will be keeping my eyes on it, but i don't hold any hope for her. Its a ruff sea out there right now.
In my neck of the woods it looks like another typical summer day again it looks like the west coast seabreeze will keep most storms off the coast(coastal drought) I think i need to move more inland...lol


Last night i watch from a distance the clouds being lit up, by the time it reach me i was sound to sleep. .26" rain so i didn't miss much.
well i gotta go earn some dough, I will post if by any chance i can get out for an easterly chase today, my mom is coming over so chances are i will be stuck here:( but one never knows.....Happy Friday and remember KEEP THOSE EYES TO THE SKY!!!JESS

Current Tampa Nexrad Radar Map : Weather Underground

Current Tampa Nexrad Radar Map : Weather Underground
rain is coming of course its dark my camera stinks,anyway its bed time to oot i can bareley keep mys eyes open, i will post more in the morning

while you were sleeping

Last night before i went to bed i was watching the radars, I was looking at Humberto.
I was thinking to myself well that sure does look like a hurricane to me at that point it was still A TS. I wish i would have saved that picture to share, because now waking it has been moved up to A hurricane with wind at 85mph. As Dew said first one in two years.
Right now I'm learning about the Bermuda high, interesting feature it is, as sits in the atlantic in the summer it placement is like a shield to hurricanes, i'm still in the learning progress but it appears to me the main reason why Florida has not seen its share of tropical systems in the last couple years.


Now what i don't understand the bottom picture is the high in the '04/'05 how did we get storms as it looks like the high is wrapped around the state.
Like I said I'm still learning anybody out there that can add to my knowledge would greatly be appreciated!
Anyway TD9 doesnt seem to fairing well with the wind shearing and i read on Jeff's blog that is forecasted for the wind shear to get stronger in a couple of pics i have u can plainly see..

well i'm off to work..bummer i'd much rather sit here and watch the radars... but gotta pay those pesty bills.
Ta ta for now.....Jess

its not over yet/ were only half way there

Wednesday, September 12, 2007
(From the Sert homepage)
Tropical Storm Humberto Forecast to Make Landfall Along the Upper Texas Coast Overnight...Tropical Depression Eight May Become a Tropical Storm This Evening over the Central Atlantic...

Tropical Depression Nine in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico was upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto earlier this afternoon.
The system developed along the tail end of a cold front just off the Texas coast. At 5 PM EDT, Tropical Storm Humberto was located about 50 miles south of Galveston, Texas. Maximum sustained winds had increased to near 50 mph, and the storm was moving slowly northward at 6 mph.
Tropical storm watches and warnings remain in effect for the upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts. The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center takes Humberto ashore along the upper Texas coast overnight as a tropical storm, spreading heavy rainfall over southeastern Texas and southern Louisiana. Although no immediate impacts to Florida are expected, residual moisture from the remnants of Humberto may linger over the Gulf Coast region along a stalled frontal boundary and contribute to some much-needed rainfall over northwestern Florida into the weekend.I hope its a little more central west, we need rain here too.

Meanwhile an area of low pressure over the central Atlantic was upgraded to Tropical Depression Eight by the National Hurricane Center earlier this morning. At 5 PM EDT, TD #8 was located about 1065 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, or about 2450 miles southeast of Miami. Movement was toward the west-northwest at 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds remained near 35 mph.
The official forecast calls for the depression to gradually strengthen into Tropical Storm Ingrid later this evening or on Thursday. The system is forecast to continue on a west-northwesterly course over the next few days as it is steered by a ridge of high pressure over the central Atlantic.
An aircraft reconnaissance mission into the system is scheduled for late on Thursday. It is too early to speculate whether or not this system will pose a threat to the United States.
We can only hope....he he he I know it sounds sick but I want some action darn it!!!
Not a bad storm maybe just a cat 1 or 2, I'm not asking for carnage just something to watch and boy we sure could use the rain.

Speaking of rain its not gonna happen here tonight, looks like another beautiful sunset!! oh well heres looking to the weekend, Thursday is already upon us this, week has moved quick.
I'm gonna go play with my boy Ta Ta for now!
ALWAYS KEEPING MY EYES TO THE SKY....JESS

felix gone but sub tropical Gaberial hangs close to Nc/Sc coast

Two days off in a row and no fun weather,I've been keeping an eye on sub tropical storm Gabriel, still disorganized but it will bring much needed rain to the east coast!! I'm getting a little nervous we are in our half way mark for the rainy season and we still our way below the normal mark, we really need to to see some rain over here on the west coast(central)Friday we received .25" Summer showers. I used o love those when i was a kid....Wait I still do!! Who doesn't like to play in the rain!!
I just hope we see more before the dry season returns.
I do have to admit I am looking forward to some cooler air, I love the change of seasons!!
This is from the SERT homepage:



The area of low pressure located between Bermuda and the southeastern U.S. coast continues to become better organized. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft currently investigating the system have not yet found a well-defined closed center of circulation. However, upper level shearing winds have weakened over the past 24 hours, meaning that the environment surrounding the system has become more favorable for development. Thunderstorm activity has also become more concentrated since Thursday. The disturbance will likely become a tropical or subtropical cyclone within the next 12-24 hours as it meanders slowly westward or west-northwestward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. Due to its proximity to the coast, tropical storm watches could be issued as early as this evening. Forecast models usually do not handle weak tropical systems well, but current models show the disturbance continuing to drift west-northwestward toward the Carolina's and mid-Atlantic coast during the next 2-3 days.
At present, this system poses no threat to Florida; however, strong northeasterly winds along the west side of the disturbance will generate ocean swells that will lead to a high threat of rip currents this weekend along the southeast Florida coast beaches. Additionally, there will also be a moderate risk of rip currents along the panhandle and Big Bend coast on Friday. Beach goers should check with local lifeguards or beach patrol and heed any warning flags or signs.

Unsettled weather associated with a trough of low pressure will spread over south Florida this weekend. Rain chances will gradually increase on Saturday and especially into Sunday as the trough lifts northwestward, bringing an abundant supply of moisture to the southern peninsula. With deep tropical moisture in place, locally heavy rainfall will be a potential threat on Sunday across the region.

Meanwhile, high pressure over the southeastern U.S. should keep north Florida mostly dry through the upcoming weekend. Rain chances may increase slightly by Sunday, with a few coastal showers during the morning hours and mainly isolated showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. With moisture levels forecast to gradually increase by late in the weekend, rain chances should return to more seasonal levels by the first half of next week.

Temperatures this weekend will be in the upper 80s to low 90s along the coast, with middle 90s expected in inland locations. Drier air and lower humidity associated with northerly flow around the area of low pressure in the Atlantic are expected to keep heat indices around 100 degrees or lower across the northern tier of the state.

Elsewhere in the tropics, disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure extend from southern Louisiana to Cuba. While upper-level winds across the Gulf of Mexico remain favorable, any development should be slow to occur.
AVILA SAYS


Issued at 530 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 080907 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE LOCATED ABOUT 315 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2. $$ FORECASTER AVILA

Well have a beautiful weekend and remember
KEEP YOUR EYES TO THE SKY!!!
Jessika Bland

Felix update!!

Watching from a far...Nothing for me this weekend but Felix is ruling the tropics!!
UPDATE:Felix is now a cat 5 hurricane with @165mph presure dropped too 935 wow what an impressive storm!9/3/07
Sunday, September 2, 2007

Felix Strengthens into a Category 3 Hurricane while Passing to the North of Aruba...Felix Forecast to Impact Central America or the Yucatan Peninsula as a Category 4 Hurricane on Tuesday and Wednesday...Low Pressure Center off the Georgia Coast Moving Slowly Eastward...Heavy Downpours Possible in North and Central Florida on Sunday Afternoon and Evening...Tropical Wave in the Central Atlantic Ocean Remains Disorganized...

At 2 PM EDT Sunday, the eye of Category 3 Hurricane Felix was located about 100 miles to the northwest of Aruba, or about 1,170 miles to the east-southeast of Belize City, Belize. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph, and Felix continues its brisk west-northwest pace around 18 mph. Tropical storm watches are in effect for Jamaica, but Felix is forecast to pass well to the south of Jamaica and the Caymans on Monday and Tuesday.
A ridge of high pressure is forecast to remain to the north of Felix during the next several days. This feature steer Felix on a west-northwesterly course through mid-week. The official forecast strengthens Felix into a Category 4 hurricane on Labor Day before the cyclone threatens Central America, Belize, or Mexico's Yucatan peninsula on Tuesday and Wednesday. Felix is not a threat to Florida during the next 5 days, but this hurricane may enter the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later this week after interacting with land. Please visit the National Hurricane Center for the latest information on Felix.

A low pressure center has developed off the Georgia coastline along a stalled frontal boundary that extends westward across north Florida. The low pressure center off the Georgia coastline may slowly develop into a tropical depression during the next few days it drifts eastward over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. Weak steering currents could cause this system to move erratically off the southeastern U.S. coast.

The stalled frontal boundary will once again fuel the development of scattered thunderstorms across north and central Florida on Sunday afternoon and evening.



Elsewhere in the tropics, thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located in the central Atlantic Ocean about 1,400 miles to the east of Barbados in the Windward Islands has not become any better organized today. Easterly wind shear and dry air aloft in the vicinity of this wave should prevent significant development during the next 24 hours. There is some potential for slow development later this week as this disturbance moves slowly westward through the central Atlantic Ocean.

Update: Felex is now a cat 4, go to Jeff gammon's site to checkout the latest updates!!you can find to right of my page also dewdrop is again doing a fantastic job with her forecast

week end weather

A low pressure area over Georgia and a weak surface trough extending southwest from the low will slowly settle southward into the northern Gulf Coast region on Friday, fueling the development of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over much of northern Florida. Some storms could be strong. Higher moisture content over the area will allow the likelihood of heavy rainfall to accompany some of these storms. Such heavy rainfall could cause temporary flooding of urban and low-lying locations. Other threats include deadly cloud-to-ground lightning and brief gusty winds.
Over the peninsula and Keys, weak and ragged high pressure overhead will do little to suppress convection Friday afternoon. Light winds and sufficient low level moisture will still allow for Atlantic and Gulf sea breeze boundaries to develop and move inland, triggering isolated thunderstorms during the late afternoon and early evening hours. Expect cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, brief gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to accompany these storms. In addition, there will be a chance of isolated waterspouts in the Keys. Activity will diminish after sunset, with only a few isolated showers or thunderstorms possible overnight along the coast and nearshore areas of South Florida and the Keys.



The aforementioned trough of low pressure is forecast to stall over northern Florida this weekend, keeping rain chances above average through Sunday. By Labor Day, rain chances should return to the scattered afternoon variety typical of August. Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Monday in the peninsula and Keys. Although no widespread severe weather is expected, a few storms could be strong.

In the tropics, several areas of low pressure are located off the eastern U.S. coast. The most organized of these lows is centered east-southeast of the New Jersey coast. There is some potential for this system to develop further, but it is no threat to Florida since it is forecast to move northeast into the cooler waters of the North Atlantic. The remaining lows off the U.S. east coast are forecast to move away from the U.S. and not develop significantly, if at all.

An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located about 300 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles, or about 1,900 miles southeast of the South Florida coast. This system has become better organized, and it could develop into a tropical depression during the next 24 hours as it continues toward the west at around 15 mph. A reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Friday afternoon.

In the far eastern Atlantic, an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located about 250 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Drier air currently surrounding this system will hamper any significant development through the next few days.


Atlantic SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
000 WONT41 KNHC 311310 DSAAT SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 910 AM AST FRI AUG 31 2007 SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS COULD BE DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO CONFIRM IF A DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND ALL INTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTION...IF NECESSARY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 310930 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-ORGANIZED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER THIS MORNING. REGARDLESS... AS THE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...IT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WINDS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE. INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED SOMEWHAT THIS MORNING...AND THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATERS. REGARDLESS...IT COULD STRENGTHEN AS A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS MOSTLY DIMINISHED AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

With the trough pushing in Florida can expect NO tropical weather, Hoping on some good pulse storms to make my weekend intresting!
Have a safe and wonderful weekend....and remember keep your eyes to the sky!!
:>) Jess.....

Trying to cheat....

Well the last two days have been quite fun weather wise, I caught some lightning on video, easy to do if you live in Florida. I tried to cheat and freeze the image and copy it to paint and then walla i have my first lightning image, well it is saved to my photos were you can view the image but you can not share it just comes up black. my guess is because its an mpeg.file. That's what i get for trying to cheat.I can how ever share the video...






In the video i said downburst i just forgot the name--out flow is what i meant to say with the winds. That was Tuesday The cell was well north, I just sat and watched in the backyard(yea i know i shouldn't be out with lightning) You know us weather nuts. Yesterday It snuck up on me, Sun was shinning and out of what seemed nowhere 2.58" of rain fell within 15minutes. I also shot some footage of that.










I dint use the first part of the video where you could see no clouds and the sun still shining because i dropped the f bomb and a couple other bad words, i wanna keep my blog clean.
My son called it sunny rain.
If I had been watching the radar i would have seen it coming but i was with my son. No rain today, blue skies and End of August heat. will update on the weekend weather tomorrow. Not much is happening in the tropics a couple of waves,there watching one by the lesser antilles I will keep and eye open on that one not much is expected in the next couple of days. Keep your eyes to the sky...Jess
p.s. the video takes forever to upload Hey Dew there getting 5,0000 dollars a head for tornado tours,i'm telling ya gives us a couple years and we can make us some money !!!! Maso mommas tornado tours!!(maybe we can get our own reality show....)

update:746am I just used photobucket for my video,it just took long to upload.

A thank you to all

First a little weather
Same ol sh28t just a different day. Nothing going on in the tropics, Hot but not as hot as last week and this from the top of the SERT home page

Isolated Coastal Showers This Morning in the Panhandle...Widely Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms During the Afternoon and Evening Across the State...Near-Normal Temperatures...Elevated Rip Current Threat along some Atlantic Beaches...

SSDD
I know right now if I knew how to forecast i could be chasing storms in the seabreeze boundaries but I'm not going to put my self in danger because of lack of knowledge.
Its going to take time and alot of learning... Taking courses on meteorology, Taking more skywarn classes reading blogs of those with knowledge. Next year at this time will be a little more exciting because i know i will venture out for more then A backyard chase I will have more knowledge. Then the years after that watch out!! You might see my stuff on T.V!!! Let me ref raze that You will see my footage on some kind of weather related news.
So just think your watching me from the beginning, watching me grow. I just Want to thank Jenn aka Dew drop And Jeff gammon's, Bill&collin Doms,Also ALL myspace storm chasers . For letting me read your thoughts Letting me no the rules and regulations( Bill) showing me your world of servere weather letting me share your passion.
All of you are my teachers and I do hope one day we have a chance to meet, maybe share a chase and have a steak dinner.

Ohhh Guess what ?? I have another new addition to the faimly,A little Black kitty no older then my little Noah showed up under my bedroom window in the early morning yesterday, you could tell he hasn't been with humans because he was pretty mean hissing and spatting he ran away from me the first time and i thought well maybe he just went home. Two hours later he was back and i got him cleaned him up introduced him to noah and fed him poor little guy he ate like he hasn't ate in awhile.
My son adores him, I guess were gonna keep him. So now that's 2 cats 2 dogs 3 birds and a bunny. Like jenny said

The Bland Family
Zoo

I think he will be named Nader



Noah is six weeks now and so cute

Well thank you for reading and have a Wonderful day!!!
Keep your eyes to the sky....Jess future storm chaser.