Cloud Stalker: Intrest in the Gulf/Not so intresting

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Intrest in the Gulf/Not so intresting

. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...WESTERN CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED HERE OR ELSEWHERE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
Yes we finely received some rain but not much, most of the showers remained south.
The GOM is under high shear right now, so nothing but light showers are expected with this system. We have some dry air coming which will take all pops out of the equation,until this weekend:A ROBUST UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE THE WEST...SHIFTING A RIDGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS
AND LIFTING THE EAST COAST TROUGH NORTH. THIS ALLOWS A RIDGE FROM
THE ATLANTIC TO THE CARIBBEAN TO CREEP NORTHWARD OVER THE STATE
BRINGING THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH IT...PROVIDING INCREASING
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MON.
But I will keep monitoring the weather for any changes.
This year has been a bust for me for storm chasing with my car problems i haven't been able to travel to the seabreeze boundary's. I am hoping this will change by next season. I am a poor girl living day to day with no credit(which is probably good right now)but i am doing what I can to change that. I still want more then anything to be a storm chaser to capture mother nature at here best. I don't want to make money from this, it is just a life's pursuit. I can't wait for the day when i can chase and photograph an awesome storm. My time is near for now i just read what I can and watch all the video I can.Learn from the world.
Peace and love!
Jess
Cloud stalker
Update: Sub tropical storm Laura lost the sub as of 11am she became tropical with near 60mph winds.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. LAURA WILL BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TONIGHT
AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON WEDNESDAY. I didn't expect that.

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HAIL (3/4 inch or greater)

Hail can cause significant damage to your vehicle, break windows and damage roofs of homes and businesses.
Hail can cause significant bodily injuries such as broken bones and even blindness if wind blown.
Softball (4.5 inches) sized hail was reported in Lake Wales, Florida on March 30, 1996.
Haildrifts, up to four feet deep of dime to nickel sized hail, occurred in low-lying areas near Zephyrhills, Florida on January 29, 1997.
Hailstones the size of softballs can fall at speeds faster than 100 mph

supercell

Supercells derive their rotation through tilting of horizontal vorticity (an invisible horizontal vortex) caused by wind shear. Strong updrafts lift the air turning about a horizontal axis and cause this air to turn about a vertical axis. This forms the deep rotating updraft, the mesocyclone.
A cap or capping inversion is usually required to form a downdraft of sufficient strength. The cap puts an inverted (warm-above-cold) layer above a normal (cold-above-warm) boundary layer, and by preventing warm surface air from sinking too far, allows one or both of the following:
Air below the cap warms and/or becomes more moist
Air above the cap cools
This creates a warmer, moister layer below a cooler layer, which is increasingly unstable (because warm air is less dense and tends to rise). When the cap weakens or moves, explosive development follows.
In North America, supercells usually show up on Doppler radar as starting at a point or hook shape on the southwestern side, fanning out to the northeast. The heaviest precipitation is usually on the southwest side, ending abruptly short of the rain-free updraft base or main updraft (not visible to radar). The rear flank downdraft, or RFD, carries precipitation counterclockwise around the north and northwest side of the updraft base, producing a "hook echo" that indicates the presence of a mesocyclone.