MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2048
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT TUE OCT 02 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL PENINSULA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 021657Z - 021900Z
TROPICAL AIR MASS WITH PW/S AROUND 2.25 WITH MUCAPES TO 2500
J/KG...HAVE SPREAD NWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL FL PENINSULA ON SLY FLOW
TO E OF SFC/UPR LOW OVER ERN GOM. WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR GENERALLY
25KT OR LESS...THE SFC-1KM SHEAR OF 20KT...PARTICULARLY CENTRAL FL
PENINSULA...SUPPORTS POTENTIAL ROTATING UPDRAFTS. ENHANCED LOW E/W
CONVERGENCE TPA TO MLB ALONG WITH DEVELOPING INLAND MOVING E COAST
SEA BREEZE FRONT SUGGESTS THAT THIS AREA WILL BE MOST FAVORED FOR
STRONG/ISOLATED STORMS THRU AFTERNOON HEATING PERIOD. ALONG WITH
WET MICRO-BURSTS...ONE OR TWO BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A WATCH BUT
AREA WILL BE MONITORED THRU THE AFTERNOON.
That would make my day, but without heating its not gonna happen the sun is just now coming out. Its been raining on of all day with most of the heavy perception in the early morning. I know i was in it, I had to be at work 7am and it was raining steady.
When i came home to check the rain amount it read .30" so not to much rain fell today.
That's all I have for now, I will update later if anything gets interesting.
Jess
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