. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...WESTERN CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED HERE OR ELSEWHERE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FORECASTER BERG/PASCH Yes we finely received some rain but not much, most of the showers remained south. The GOM is under high shear right now, so nothing but light showers are expected with this system. We have some dry air coming which will take all pops out of the equation,until this weekend:A ROBUST UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE THE WEST...SHIFTING A RIDGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND LIFTING THE EAST COAST TROUGH NORTH. THIS ALLOWS A RIDGE FROM THE ATLANTIC TO THE CARIBBEAN TO CREEP NORTHWARD OVER THE STATE BRINGING THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH IT...PROVIDING INCREASING MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MON. But I will keep monitoring the weather for any changes. This year has been a bust for me for storm chasing with my car problems i haven't been able to travel to the seabreeze boundary's. I am hoping this will change by next season. I am a poor girl living day to day with no credit(which is probably good right now)but i am doing what I can to change that. I still want more then anything to be a storm chaser to capture mother nature at here best. I don't want to make money from this, it is just a life's pursuit. I can't wait for the day when i can chase and photograph an awesome storm. My time is near for now i just read what I can and watch all the video I can.Learn from the world. Peace and love! Jess Cloud stalker Update: Sub tropical storm Laura lost the sub as of 11am she became tropical with near 60mph winds.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LAURA WILL BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TONIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON WEDNESDAY. I didn't expect that.
Laura is expected to remain over 25c-26c SSTs for the next 24 hours and also be under light to moderate shear conditions. Therefore... some additional strengthening is forecast. However...if the current trend of convection wrapping around the center continues...then subtropical storm Laura could quickly transition over to a tropical cyclone and become a hurricane with a banding eye feature later today. By 36 hours...Laura is expected to be moving over much cooler water...which should induce weakening along with a gradual transition to extratropical status.-forecaster Stewart-
Kyle is considered to be extratropical, so besides Laura there is no activity going on in the Atlantic. All is calm again for the moment. I thought we would see some rain today but it looks like it will remain south of the Tampa bay. DEEP MOISTURE WILL DRIFT NORTH AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND MOVES ALONG A BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TAMPA BAY REGION SOUTH AND EAST. We could see some SCATTERED thunderstorms later this evening but for us on the coast it is a wait and see. I am bummed. I haven't seen a decent storm in quite awhile. I bet there will be a nice sunset tonight, but for the past couple of month's that's all the photos i have been taken,.I might have to change my name to sunset stalker. That's all for now. Jess CLOUD STALKER!!!!
Kyle upgraded to a tropical storm Thursday and grew up today and now kyle is our 6th Atlantic hurricane this season. The tropics have woken up from it's little nap and now the Atlantic is quite active again with 3 areas of interest and of course kyle. Kyle is headed to the Maine and Canada's Maritime provinces,defiantly not a fish storm.
At 5pm, Kyle was about 780km south of the island of Nantucket, Massachusetts, and moving north at 37kph. The way north is about to get a taste of the tropics.As Dew would say"Great googley moogley! Tropical Storm Kyle continues to grow in strength as it makes its way toward the U.S. coast. Image: gsloan/Flickr. I had to share the picture its not mine as you can see from the title below the picture but it sure is beautiful! I wonder how the east coast is handleing these stong waves bashing it's shore. WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH, N.C. -- Strong winds kicked up rough surf Thursday as an intense low-pressure system chugged toward the Southeast coast with wind gusts of up to 50 mph, knocking out power to thousands of homes in Virginia.SOURCE image credit Now onto my weather: Beautiful! What more can I say. Not a cloud in the sky today over my area and my ac has been off since Thursday when the dry air covered my area.Sweet.See that black circle?Thats where I am at. Its not gonna last, good things never do. Not to be negative but here in Florida perfect weather comes in waves.Here is a clip from NOAA weather discussion:AREA TO TRANSITION INTO MORE MOIST PATTERN INTO MIDWEEK. DRY AIR OVER N FL TO HOLD INTO SUNDAY WHILE SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER S FL SLOWLY MOVES NWARD OVER THE FL PENINSULA REMAINDER OF WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. UPPER TROUGHINESS TO HOLD OVER THE DEEP SOUTH PRODUCING SW FLOW ALOFT WITH SERIES OF EMBEDDED VORT MAXES ROTATING OVER THE AREA IN OVERALL FLOW. EXPECT SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT AS SFC BOUNDARY MIGRATES FROM S FL TO SW FL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY TO CENTRAL FL MONDAY. But then there is this: MID LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHEAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL STEER A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TOWARD WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH A FOLLOWING COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE. MODELS VARY ON TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS BAROCLINIC SYSTEM BUT AT THE VERY LEAST THE SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS AND RAIN. NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL USHER IN DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. I love the dry air but no clouds is a sad sad thing I love to stalk them clouds as you lnow so it looks like i will have my chance Monday. I am trying my best to keep my blog updated i have been slacking quite a bit this summer, I am not going to make any promises but i am gonna try to at least sumit a picture each day. Hope the rest of your weekend is grand! peace and love! Jess Cloud Stalker
To see the sky from around the world click on this link. Thanks to Tom, Sandy, IMAC & Klaus for making this so much fun! Today's Picture is from last week we had a A stationary front stalled over my area, which created such beautiful skies. If you scroll down to my past post you will see more of the beautiful skies i captured. With each passing moment the skies changed it was fantastic. God's handy work.
A stationary front is a boundary between two different air masses, neither of which is strong enough to replace the other. They tend to remain essentially in the same area for extended periods of time, and waves sometimes propagate along the frontal boundary. A wide variety of weather can be found along a stationary front, but usually clouds, prolonged precipitation, and storm trains are found there. Stationary fronts will either dissipate after several days or devolve into shear lines, but can change into a cold or warm front if conditions aloft change.-source
There was no rain for us here but along the seabreeze boundaries storms were popping up everywhere. Jess Cloud Stalker
It feels like fall is in the air, nice breeze and what i thought was dryer air. The humity is still at 85% which if you felt the air here you would be surprized too. Dry air is moving in and tonight our low goes down to a nice 71 degrees. I wonder if i will be able to convince hubby to turn off the ac tonight. Yesterday we should of saw some rain with the blob that was out in the gulf but as usual it went north and south of us and all we got here was a couple of sprinkles. Today the rain will mostly be south of Pasco...of course. 93L still hasn't changed much but NOAA is saying it could become a depression any day now. This will not effect Florida,here is a look at the spaghetti models. Looks like this could be a fish storm. Or not. This is from Dr.Jeff Master wonder blog: The track forecast The models agree on a slow west-northwesterly motion for 93L today, with a turn to the northwest or north-northwest on Tuesday. An extratropical storm is expected to develop off the coast of South Carolina by Wednesday, and five of our six reliable models predict that 93L and the extratropical storm will rotate cyclonically around a common center (the Fujiwhara effect), sending 93L hurtling into the U.S. East Coast on Friday somewhere between North Carolina and Massachusetts. The outlier is the UKMET model, which predicts that 93L will absorb the energy that would have gone into creating the extratropical low. This might convert 93L into a hybrid subtropical storm that would affect the coast of North and South Carolina late this week with sustained winds in the 50-60 mph range. Considering that we are trying to forecast a complicated interaction between two storms that have yet to form, the current model forecasts for 93L are highly uncertain. Residents along the entire U.S. East Coast from Georgia to Maine should anticipate the possibility of a strong tropical storm affecting them by Friday.Wow! I love his Blog he is such a smart man. for some reason I cant insert links right now but his blog is to the left. Thats it for me, have a great day! Jess Cloud Stalker
yesterday evening was so nice, the breeze the sky. I am enjoying these last nights of summer. I know I know I am in Florida just because Fall is next Monday doesn't mean a thing our nights will continue to be warm for awhile yet. Still I love sitting out front watching my son ride his bike. Watching the beautiful sky as the sun goes down. I have a couple more really good shots but i am saving them for sky watch tomorrow.
I can't stop thinking about Ike and the Bolivar Peninsula,I just can't believe how many people stayed. It just boggles my mind. Why? is all I keep asking myself. I mean I want to chase Hurricane one day, but when Noaa says "certain Death will happen if you dont leave the coast" I am gone...See ya....later dudes... 400 people chose to ride it out, do you think they survided? Look down at the picture below and then check out the link and you tell me. Stupid just plain stupid. Dr. Abby Sallenger, Jr. of the USGS described yesterday's damage survey flight:
Here's what we saw in our overflight from about Grand Chenier in western Louisiana to Freeport below Galveston.
We saw vast areas flooded by storm surge; the water extended landward in places for tens of kilometers. The beaches served as rims that contained the flood waters. In Louisiana, channels were cut (naturally) through the beaches so the water would drain seaward. Where the max surge occurred (between Bolivar Peninsula and Sabine Pass), the returning water completely submerged the Gulf shore for kilometers. The maximum impacts were on the Bolivar Peninsula, the site of our example comparisons online now.Source-USGS Check out the link for more photos and more information on this horrific event.
It looks like we will have a lull for storms in the alantic right now but I bet it wont last long, by next week check back with me and I bet I will have something to talk about. Gotta go for now take care and God Bless! Jess Cloud Stalker If you want to make a donation to hurricane Ike victims here is a the link to the red cross
Sept. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane Ike plowed into Texas early today, driving the Gulf of Mexico's waters into Galveston Island, blowing out office-building windows and cutting power to at least 4.5 million people in the Houston area.
The storm flooded homes, shut oil refineries and scattered 2.3 million people in two states who fled before its fury arrived. Winds blew pine trees sideways in Houston, the nation's fourth-biggest city, where electrical transformers sparked and residents waited out the hurricane in their homes last night under a citywide curfew.
Officials expressed relief the storm didn't turn out to be the ``catastrophic'' event that U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff had warned about yesterday. Texas Governor Rick Perry said a 20-foot ``tsunami'' of water might surge up the 54- mile Houston Ship Channel, which serves area refineries.
``The worst-case scenario that was projected before the storm, particularly in the Houston Ship Channel, did not occur,'' Perry said in a televised press conference today. He cautioned, though, that ``there is still plenty of damage out there.''
Ike weakened to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour (72 kph), down from 110 mph, or Category 2, at its early morning landfall in Galveston, the Miami-based National Hurricane Center said in an advisory just before 4 p.m. local time. It was southeast of Tyler, Texas, moving north at 18 mph and headed for western Arkansas tonight.
Search and Rescue
Chertoff said 50 aircraft are now in the air on search-and- rescue missions, which Perry said was the state's largest such operation ever.
Ike was the first storm to hit a major U.S. metropolitan area since Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans in 2005. The Houston area, with a population of 5.6 million, is the sixth largest in the U.S., according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
The storm surge in Galveston, predicted to be as high as 25 feet (7.6 meters), may have peaked at only 12.5 feet, according to a National Weather Service tidal gauge.
``With the eye and the eye wall passing directly over Galveston, that was kind of their saving grace,'' said Joe Bartosik, a meteorologist with WeatherBug.com. ``Even though they took the storm core, they escaped the really damaging side.''
About 40 percent of Galveston's 57,400 people decided to stay and ride out the storm, Steve LeBlanc, the city manager, said in a televised press conference yesterday.
Prepared for `Worst'
``We hope that people were able to find a place to hide,'' said Chertoff, who is flying to Texas later today. Still, ``we're prepared for the worst.''
A 300-foot pier and eight concrete supports broke away and became a battering ram that tore the front off of Bill King's Bermuda-style house in Kemah, Texas, piling up books and golf clubs among the stunned birds already lying on the grass.
King, who has helped advise on Houston's hurricane evacuations, found himself a victim of Ike's storm surge that left water from Galveston Bay in the swimming pool of his weekend home.
``It's a mess,'' said King, a former mayor of Kemah, which is about 28 miles southeast of Houston. ``This house had never been inundated before, and it has been in some pretty good hurricanes.''
Bartosik said areas along the Texas coast stretching into southwestern Louisiana received a far greater storm surge than Galveston did. In Port Arthur, Texas, storm surges of between 15 to 20 feet were recorded and Beaumont, Texas, 78 miles northeast of Houston, has about 9 feet of water in its downtown.
`Our Town'
The Kemah Boardwalk, an amusement park that draws about 5 million visitors to the city annually, was under water.
``It's our town; we'll be back,'' City Administrator Bill Kerber said in an interview.
Houston's 75-story JPMorgan Chase Tower had windows on its west side smashed out, according to the local CBS affiliate, KHOU-TV. The Enron Building and Crown Plaza Hotel were also damaged, the station reported. The city's George Bush Intercontinental Airport and William P. Hobby airports remained closed.
Bartosik said Doppler radar showed winds were blowing as high as 130 mph above the 10th floor of buildings in downtown Houston.
``That accounts for a lot of the blown-out windows that have occurred,'' Bartosik said by telephone. ``Houston was in the western eye wall for a good hour-and-a-half.''
The storm has closed 19 percent of the refining capacity in the U.S. At least 13 refineries in Texas shut down including those operated by Exxon Mobil Corp., Valero Energy Corp., ConocoPhillips and Royal Dutch Shell Plc. Gulf Coast refineries and ports are the source of half of the fuel and crude used in the eastern U.S.
Without Power
About 4.5 million people are in the Houston-based CenterPoint Energy Inc.'s service area and ``almost all of them are without power.'' Before the storm hit, CenterPoint estimated it could be weeks to restore power, said Floyd LeBlanc, a company spokesman.
``We may have to revise that,'' he said. ``We have gotten literally thousands of calls from customers reporting downed power lines.''
The hurricane may cause $8 billion to $18 billion in insured losses on land as it moves from coastal Galveston to Houston and further inland, according to Oakland, California-based Eqecat Inc., which predicts the effects of disasters.
Ike left more than 70 people dead in Haiti and killed four in Cuba as it swept through the Caribbean earlier this week. CNN reported at least four people have been killed so far in Texas.
President George W. Bush said this morning the federal government was ``prepared to move'' quickly to help Texas recover. He declared a major disaster for Texas, which makes federal funding available to people living in 29 counties hit by Ike.
To contact the reporters on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at bsullivan10@bloomberg.net; Tom Korosec in Houston, via the New York newsroom at mschoifet@bloomberg.net Last Updated: September 13, 2008 16:41 EDT SOURCE
Photo taken yesterday afternoon.looking to the west. With Hurricane Ike in the gulf of Mexico our skies have been filled with clouds of all types. I like this shot because the tree puts a frame around a confused sky. This shot was taken from looking strait up. This shot was taken looking to the north.
This shot was taken looking from the east
Onto Hurricane Ike
I wanted to share this from Dr.Jeff Masters blog you can view it in whole by clicking on his name. Posted by: JeffMasters, 3:26 PM GMT on September 12, 2008 Hurricane Ike is closing in on Texas, and stands poised to become one of the most damaging hurricanes of all time. Despite Ike's rated Category 2 strength, the hurricane is much larger and more powerful than Category 5 Katrina or Category 5 Rita. The storm surge from Ike could rival Katrina's, inundating a 200-mile stretch of coast from Galveston to Cameron, Louisiana with waters over 15 feet high. This massive storm surge is due to the exceptional size of Ike. According to the latest wind field estimate (Figure 1), the diameter of Ike's tropical storm and hurricane force winds are 550 and 240 miles, respectively. For comparison, Katrina numbers at landfall were 440 and 210 miles, respectively. As I discussed in yesterday's blog entry, a good measure of the storm surge potential is Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE). Ike continues to grow larger and has intensified slightly since yesterday, and the hurricane's Integrated Kinetic Energy has increased from 134 to 149 Terajoules. This is 30% higher than Katrina's total energy at landfall. All this extra energy has gone into piling up a vast storm surge that will probably be higher than anything in recorded history along the Texas coast. Storm surge heights of 20-25 feet are possible from Galveston northwards to the Louisiana border. The Texas storm surge record is held by Hurricane Carla of 1961. Carla was a Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds at landfall, and drove a 10 foot or higher storm surge to a 180-mile stretch of Texas coast. A maximum storm surge of 22 feet was recorded at Port Lavaca, Texas. This Storm could make history folks. My prayer goes out to all those who will be effect by this huge storm. There talking 50ft waves. Holy Moly! God be with them all! A fellow blogger is making his journey to Galveston now if you want to check in with hi, go to Ham Wx His live feed should be up soon. Jess Cloud Stalker
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008
THE EYE OF IKE HAS LOST A LITTLE OF ITS DEFINITION...AND CLOUD TOPS OF THE EYEWALL HAVE WARMED SOMEWHAT. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE COME DOWN SLIGHTLY AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 110 KT. MICROWAVE IMAGERY JUST RECEIVED FROM THE AMSR-E DOES NOT REVEAL ANY SIGNIFICANT DETERIORATION OF THE INNER CORE STRUCTURE...NOR DOES IT DEPICT CONCENTRIC EYEWALLS...SO RAPID WEAKENING DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ABOUT TO OCCUR. THAT IMAGERY DOES SHOW SOME EROSION OF THE NORTHWESTERN EYEWALL...AND GIVEN THE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR SOME WEAKENING IN THE SHORT TERM. GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST THE SHEAR TO LESSEN BEYOND 24 HOURS...AS IKE REMAINS OVER WATERS NEAR 29 CELSIUS...SO RESTRENGTHENING IS THEN FORECAST. THE HWRF FORECASTS IKE TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT DAYS 3-5...BUT THE GFDL DOES NOT SINCE ITS TRACK GOES OVER CUBA. MEANWHILE THE SHIPS AND LGEM FORECAST A WEAKER HURRICANE...ALTHOUGH THE LGEM PREDICTION APPEARS MORE REALISTIC SINCE IT DOES A BETTER JOB OF TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE EVENTUAL LESSENING OF THE SHEAR. SINCE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REMAINS OVER WATER THROUGH 96 HOURS...A BLEND OF THE HWRF AND LGEM SEEMS TO BE REASONABLE...AND IKE IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LONGER RANGES. THE ONLY REASON FOR THE WEAKENING AT THE END IS THAT THE FIVE-DAY POINT IS OVER LAND...WHICH IS NOT A CERTAINTY.
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE HAS SETTLED IN DIRECTLY NORTH OF IKE...AS THE HIGH-LATITUDE TROUGH DEPARTS ATLANTIC CANADA...AND THE HURRICANE IS NOW HEADED DUE WESTWARD OR 270/13. NEXT TO DEPART THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SCENE WILL BE HANNA...AND ALL DYNAMICAL MODELS SAY THAT IN ITS PLACE THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD TO FLORIDA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. A KEY UNKNOWN FOR THE 3-5 DAY FORECAST IS HOW STRONG THAT RIDGE WILL BE AND HOW LONG IT WILL REMAIN INTACT. IN GENERAL DURING THE LAST DAY OR TWO THE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARD THE RIDGE STAYING IN PLACE LONGER...RESULTING IN TRACKS MAINTAINING THE GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION LONGER AND DELAYING ANY POTENTIAL TURN TO THE NORTH. THAT TREND HAS CONTINUED SOMEWHAT ON THIS CYCLE...BUT THE CONSENSUS HAS ONLY SHIFTED WEST SLIGHTLY AT DAYS 4 AND 5. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH 72 HOURS...IS JUST NUDGED TOWARD THE CONSENSUS BEYOND THAT TIME...AND GIVES THE MOST WEIGHT TO THE GFS AND HWRF. IT CANNOT BE SAID ENOUGH THAT FIVE-DAY TRACK FORECASTS CAN HAVE SIGNIFICANT ERRORS...AND COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT THE MODEL SPREAD IS STILL NOTABLE BEYOND 72 HOURS...ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK.
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008
...IKE BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2008 ATLANTIC SEASON...
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST OR ABOUT 670 MILES...1080 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY IKE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.6 N...52.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.
Photo from sept 1st. Source -Nasa TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008 500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT IN HISPANIOLA FROM PORT AU PRINCE HAITI NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...NORTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 60 MILES ... 95 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.
HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD BE MOVING THROUGH OR JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA...WHERE THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA BY FRIDAY MORNING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.9 N...71.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.
