Cloud Stalker

2011-10-08T12:00:00.001-04:00

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2011-07-27T18:21:00.001-04:00

2011-07-25T23:03:00.000-04:00

I'm forty today.

2011-04-13T16:52:00.001-04:00

Nector of the Gods!

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2011-04-13T08:14:00.001-04:00

Happy trails to you.....

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2011-04-13T08:13:00.001-04:00

Happy hump day!

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2011-04-12T10:12:00.001-04:00

Cloudstalken

2011-04-11T08:02:00.001-04:00

Welcome Monday, talk to Tues.Weds.Thurs. See about Friday coming a little quicker this week. Thanks.

2011-04-09T19:02:00.001-04:00

Fred howard park.

2011-04-07T08:15:00.001-04:00

Good morning all!

2011-04-05T19:22:00.001-04:00

Pulled pork sandwiches....yea buddy!

2011-04-05T08:04:00.001-04:00

It's gonna pour again, but Not as bad as last week.

2011-04-01T18:59:00.001-04:00

Yummy!

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2011-03-28T14:00:00.001-04:00

Another rain band coming in.

2011-03-28T10:11:00.001-04:00

Even more rain coming and i even heard thunder.

2011-03-28T08:50:00.001-04:00

More rain coming.

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2011-03-28T08:15:00.001-04:00

Finelly got some rain.

Sunshine still ruling over Florida

2011-03-23T17:56:00.002-04:00

I so miss the sound of thunder. The dazzle of lightning,and the wind ripping trough the trees. It looks as though the beautiful weather will last through out the week into next week.(sigh) The beginning of the week there is a small hope for rain, storms..no. I am so tired of the same ol same ol. The hub and i are talking about moving to Kentucky. I want change i have lived here my whole life and even though its a small taste of paradise, it gets old. So whats in Kentucky? Well my daughter moved there with her boyfriend and my grandson. My hub's sisters and step dad are there and the weather changes. I have never seen a real fall nor have i seen snow. I need a change.
I have no new pictures to share, to much of the same. lol
Jess
Cloudstalker

2011-03-13T19:03:00.001-04:00

Silk worm invasion

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2011-02-27T16:58:00.001-05:00

Such a beautiful day! I sure can get use to this!

2010-12-03T18:33:00.001-05:00

Snow blower at christmas house

2010-12-03T18:31:00.001-05:00

My favorite Christmas house. On meadow hill rd off landmark in countryside.

2010-12-01T20:59:00.001-05:00

Chillaxen

2010-11-23T10:02:00.001-05:00

84 today....nice breeze...loven it!

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Depression # 4

2010-08-02T17:45:00.004-04:00

location...13.0n 42.5w
about 1270 mi...2045 km E of the Lesser Antilles
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
present movement...WNW or 290 degrees at 16 mph...26 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches

2010-06-30T19:48:00.001-04:00

LOTTS OF RAIN FOR THE LAST 3 DAYS. The flood gates open up today its been raining for four hours now.

2010-06-29T22:48:00.000-04:00

ALEX UPGRADED TO HURRICANE STATUS! DOSN'T LOOK IT WILL BE A US LANDFALL.

1st named storm of the season, Welcome Alex

2010-06-26T12:00:00.003-04:00

Tropical Storm ALEX Public Advisory

1000 AM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010

...LARGE TROPICAL STORM ALEX HEADING TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 86.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN
* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF
HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST. ALEX IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF
BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PENINSULA ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH
OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN THE BAY
ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF
BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER
TODAY.

We should all pray that the trough of low pressure that is expected to swing down over the Eastern U.S. on Monday, is weak. It could very well pull Alex northwards through the oil slick region into the northern Gulf of Mexico coast.
Most models are saying that the trough will be weak enough that Alex will cross the Yucatan, emerge into the Gulf of Mexico, then slow down as the trough to its north weakens the steering currents in the Gulf of Mexico on Monday. By Tuesday, the influence of the trough will wane, high pressure will build in, and Alex will resume a west-northwest, or possibly a due west or west-southwest motion, towards the Texas/Mexico border region. That is what Dr.Jeff Masters is saying. I just hope we get some moisture in the air so I can have me some fun watching the storm build then explode.
He He any who keeping my eye Alex watching 94L and always keeping my eyes to the sky!
Jess
Cloudstalker

2010-06-25T08:11:00.001-04:00

2010-06-03T14:14:00.000-04:00

Will i finelly see some rain?going on 13 days now without a storm or even a drop of rain.

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

2010-06-01T17:06:00.000-04:00

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
First day of Hurricane Season And the Pacific has already had their first named Storm, Agatha.

2010-06-01T14:12:00.001-04:00

Didn't see a drop of rain all weekend, will the trend continue?

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NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA Expects Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season

2010-05-27T18:31:00.000-04:00

NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA Expects Busy Atlantic Hurricane Season

2010-05-25T14:05:00.001-04:00

Sea breeze in action.

2010-05-24T14:03:00.001-04:00

Think it's a little hot?

2010-05-23T19:57:00.001-04:00

We had agreat time at Epcot today, a great weekend all togather.

2010-05-22T12:36:00.001-04:00

Having a blast at Holltwood studios Star Wars weekend!

2010-05-17T12:41:00.001-04:00

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2010-05-17T09:18:00.001-04:00

Lots of moisture in the air, and loving the thunder in the back ground.

Tornado fest in the plains, Sunny and beautiful in Florida

2010-05-12T17:20:00.005-04:00

I sit outside in my backyard with a genital breeze on my shoulders, My long black hair pulled back so it doesn't blow in my face. I am Drinking a nice tall glass of sweet ice tea with a slice of lemon and I am watching my dog Maddie hunt for lizards, kinda funny she lifts things up to look under them she knows where they hide and yes if she catches it she will kill it.
Weird, my dog the lizard slayer.

I have windows 7 on my laptop which is cool cause you can have your windows side by side so as i write this I have on ChaserTV . A very cool web site for this time of the year. I am watching a awesome storm right now, the shelf clouds are amazing. I wish there was sound, the wind is what I love, the many different sound that it makes. Music to my ears.
Kansas and Oklahoma got nailed yesterday, numerous tornado reports A beautiful multivortex Tornado was caught on video you can see that on Chaser TV
Today looks good for another round of beautiful storms, I so wish I was there. Right now i am there virtually with David Drummond in Kansas, riding along wishing for sound.
Florida weather,Gotta love it. If your into Beautiful blue skies, white puffy clouds
and a warm genital breeze on your shoulders.
There is no rain in our forecast.

Jordan is getting big, three months old now and what a cutie!!

Still hard to believe I am a grandma,where did the time go... Speaking of time it's time to make dinner.
But before I go, I did catch an anvil last week, way inland.A beautiful Seabreeze storm. It didn't last long they never do here. I will end this entry with those photo's.

Keep your eyes on the sky!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

2010-05-05T09:35:00.001-04:00

Could see some showers today, 40% chance for later in the afternoon. For now its cloudy and humid and this weather chick is wishing for a thunderstorm...what? It could happen.

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2010-05-04T09:32:00.001-04:00

Clouds drifting off...20% chance of showers highs in the upper 80's.

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The heat is on!

2010-05-03T22:38:00.004-04:00

Hot! Hot Hot! That was today, it is now 79 degrees dew point at 72 and humidity at 79 and it feels like 82,So Of course I gave in to the A/C. I do welcome this, I so do look forward to afternoon thunder showers.For now rain chance go up and down through out the week with Wednesday and Thursday at a 30%Typical May weather, here is a link to tonight's area forecast discussion.

I am up way past my bed time, I wanted to write so much more there is so much going on right now.Well tomorrow is another day.
Good night.
Jess
Cloud Stalker
Link to classic egg frying on sidewalk

2010-04-30T10:33:00.001-04:00

Warm front moving in. Hot and humid weekend ahead highs going into the 90's. Possiable seabreeze storms.
Jess
Cloud stalker

Beautiful day

2010-04-28T13:04:00.001-04:00

What a beautiful day! Temps at a lovely 70 degrees. Enjoy today because temps are reaching a hot 90 degrees this weekend.

2010-04-28T10:16:00.000-04:00

The sand as a result from all the rain. I thought it looked cool.

2010-04-26T10:17:00.001-04:00

Severe weather in pasco yesterday dumped alot rain and hail. People were spotting funnels everywhere. There were large trees down and a lot of debree all over the roadway. I was Dunedin so i missed out. We had rain and wind no hail.

More rain this evening.

2010-04-19T11:29:00.001-04:00

50% chance rain for the evening hours.

Monday morning

2010-04-19T08:12:00.001-04:00

Monday morning. Looks like the rain is tapering off.

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Chance of rain coming back into the forcast

2010-04-16T23:56:00.004-04:00

Well I didn't keep my promise but I am sending Pictures..and here am with another post in the same month.
We have been stuck in the same weather pattern for awhile now, We haven't seen rain in 2 weeks, so much for April showers.
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SUNDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE WILL START OUT THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER. THE HIGH WILL BE
CENTERED NEARLY OVERHEAD BY TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MUCH LESS
OF A GRADIENT...AND DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING TO OCCUR TONIGHT.
FOR SATURDAY...THIS HIGH NEARLY OVERHEAD WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR THE
AFTERNOON WEST COAST SEABREEZE TO RETURN WITH THE LACK OF GRADIENT
FLOW. SO SHADED TEMPS A TOUCH COOLER TO THE WEST ALONG THE
COAST...BUT EVEN STILL IT SHOULD WARM TO NEAR NORMAL EVERYWHERE.
BY LATE IN THE DAY CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH. THIS
WILL BE AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. DEVELOPING H5 TROUGHING WILL HELP TO DEEPEN THE
SURFACE LOW AND PUSH IT UP THE FLORIDA STRAITS BY SUNDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...AND CHANCES OF RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR
THESE REASONS.
With my fingers crossed I sure do hope I will see some thunderstorms,Its been a long time since I heard the sound of thunder. Oh how I miss it.
Living back at my childhood home has brought back a lot of memory's. One I get to relive is the sound of the wind through the pine trees,Austrian pines. What a wonderful song they sing. I love all the trees in the back yard.
Jess

2010-04-15T14:13:00.001-04:00

Thursday afternoon.

2010-04-14T10:14:00.001-04:00

2010-04-13T14:46:00.000-04:00

2010-04-08T14:13:00.001-04:00

NICE WARM DAY AND FRECKLES IN THE SKY

2010-04-07T23:06:00.001-04:00

Space shuttle's plume at sunrise

Spring Time, Lost time....

2010-04-06T18:04:00.009-04:00

Yes it is April of 2010, I haven't blogged in some time now. Why? Well for many reasons:
First I had only one computer and I just couldn't compete with my husband and my son.
Plus my camera took a shiz. I did get my computer a lap top, so now i can make time for my blogs. Another reason is life, ya know sometimes it gets overwhelming and Really didn't want to record that part. That is why I write or blog is to record my thoughts and weather for the time. I think it is cool that i can share that with others who choose to read it. Hurricane season for 2009 was ruled by El Nino. There was only 9 name storms.
It did rain a lot which is good because as i have written in the past it had been pretty dry. Winter was incredible. Several states broke record lows. I who have who was born and raised here in Florida, never saw it so cold for so long. Working in a factory with no heat sucked the big one.
December 9,2009 My mom died,heart attack. She was only 58. She had gotten the H1N1 flu shot 7 days prior and got real sick 2 days after, throwing up and diarrhea. She called out of work Monday tried to come in on Tuesday but here boss sent here home. She was real weak. My brother who is 22 lives at home with mom, my dad died in 2002 after a long fight with cancer. Anyway my mom called the doctor told them she had the flu and they prescribe her pepto bismal she died before 1pm on Wednesday. My brother talked to her in the morning and went to his room took a nap and when he came out he called her name out when she didn't answer he went to check on her and she was dead.Ted My brother called me after the police got there. I was in total shock. Her official cause of death was cardiac arrest do to influenza. I was renting a house in Port Richey with no lease so i gave the owner a month and half heads up I was moving. I now live in this house with my brother who is socially challenged. He has never worked and is extremely shy. Lord give me strength. I am updating the house which may I add is 54 years old. I am in probate but it should be done with it by May. I am gonna sell this house even though it has the best yard ever. The house sits on a double lot. The back yard is huge. My dog Maddie is loving it. But both my parents died in this house, It's hard to be here. To many memory's.
Febuary 10,2010 Jordan Christopher Norris was born, my grandson.
Yup I am a grandma. My daughter who is 22 is a wonderful new mom. I will have many Pictures coming.

So now it is April, It has been a cold wet winter and I welcome spring with open arms.
El Nino is showing signs of weakening and their calling for a an active hurricane season. I have my my fingers crossed.
For now I go with a promise to myself to write everyday.
Remember: Keep your eyes to the sky!
Jess
CloudStalker

no name storms yet

2009-08-08T13:25:00.002-04:00

So much for an early season, its already August and there has yet to be a named storm.
Thanks to ElNino it looks to be a quit year.
I haven't had any great storms ether, of course with out a car I cant chase the sea breeze storms. So again I'm just a storm watcher from a far.
Which is really getting frustrating even with a car my freaken camera is broke too so life as a storm chaser is just gonna have to be put on hold. I am trying to be positive but it seems i just keep getting let down. Arg.
That's why i haven't been blogging. I am active with Face book, just look up Jessika Bland and u can check in on what I'm up to, If your interested.
So for now keep your eyes to the sky and pray for me that life gets a little better.
Jess

Hurricane season starting a little early

2009-05-18T17:24:00.005-04:00

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
340 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE ADJACENT WATERS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...IF NECESSARY.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

If this turns into a named storm it will be the tenth consecutive year that a tropical storm formed in May. Typically named storms only happen every other May.

Drought relief is under way Florida is getting much need rain, and rain is forcasted for the next 5 days. I cant wait for my neighborhood to turn green again!
I have some pretty cool pictures i have taken, which i will share later. for now it's time to make dinner.
Jess
Yea its getting interesting around here!

Florida heat wave

2009-05-05T18:20:00.004-04:00

It's only May and yes folks we are seeing temps reaching the 90's.
The drought is getting worse, Florida is 4.53 inches behind in rain already for the year. This is bad, and yes each day that goes by without rain is just making it worse.I read recently my county- Pasco is doing a good job with conserving our water.but that also means no fun in the hose for the kids this summer. Those of us without pools no how bad this sucks! While I'm here bitching about no rain five states,TX,LA,MS.Al.GA are getting pounded,storm after storm after storm. 30 Tornado's have been reported since Friday,and wide spread flooding hail storms and on
Saturday a severe thunderstorm warning went up at 3:06 pm in Dallas Texas At 3:30pm 70mph winds collapsed the Dallas Cowboy's practice facility. They are reporting that event as a MicroburstClick on Microburst to read how this event forms.
Scary stuff if you don't know whats going on weather wise around you. That's why a weather radio is an absolute necessity!! If you don't have one go out and get one before you become one of those people....you know what i mean.
Jess

Tornado's in pasco???

2009-04-14T19:04:00.006-04:00

Tornado Reports .
1231 4 E HOLIDAY PASCO FL 2819 8268 TORNADO DAMAGE REPORTED IN TRINITY OAKS SUBDIVISION. (TBW)
1250 2 SSW LAND O' LAKES PASCO FL 2819 8247 PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO JUST NORTH OF INTERSECTION OF STATE ROAD 54 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 41 MOVING EAST NORTHEAST. (TBW)
1300 3 NNE WESLEY CHAPEL PASCO FL 2828 8231 POSSIBLE TORNADO. NWS ON ROUTE TO DO SURVEY. (TBW)SOURCE
Well it's about time we had some action around here! Wouldn't you know it i was working in a warehouse without windows, so every chance i got i would open the back door and watch the sky, it was beautiful. All I had was a camera phone but i still got some cool lighting video.
It definitely was not chase able storm anyway, and if there were tornadoes they were rain wrapped speaking of rain were received 1.52inches of much needed rain.
Click HERE for some story's on today's weather event.
Now the action has past its time to sit back and enjoy some beautiful weather. Tomorrows high is a perfect 75.
Gottta go for now, A mother job is never done.....
Keep your eyes to the sky!!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Dry But beautiful

2009-03-24T16:17:00.006-04:00

Temperature: 79.6 °F
Dew Point: 51.1 °F
Humidity: 37%
Wind Speed: 3.0mph
Wind Gust: 6.0mph - -
Wind: SE - - ESE
Pressure: 30.08in Precipitation: 0.00in
Time:4:31pm

Wow was my last post really in January, time flys. The weather here in west Pasco hasn't changed much. We have been stuck in a dry pattern for quite some time.
Yesterday we did receive some rain but it was only .27 It probably rolled right into the street my lawn is gone, so is everybody Else's in my neighborhood. It starting to look like a desert city.
Right now we have some nice puffy cumulus clouds going on blue skies and a awesome breeze from the east. Its hard to complain when the weather is so Beautiful.

I did a happy dance Knowing that the cold weather is gone for the year, I don't know how you northerners can stand all that cold but i get a little taste and I'm bitching.

What i really need to do is a rain dance, We are in a severe drought.

Rainfall deficit numbers just released by the Southwest Florida Water Management District show that on average the Bay area is already short nearly 6" of rain so far this year. That number combines with the ongoing drought to produce rainfall deficits for the region ranging from 27" to 33" over the past three years.

Source- 10connects.com
That's dry.
Our next best chance for rain arrives late Saturday evening and into Sunday as a cold front moves through. This could even produce a line of thunderstorms as well.
I'm keeping my fingers crossed on that one, I miss the sound of thunder.
well that's it for today and probably this month once the weather becomes more active so will my blogging. So if by any chance anyone reads this, don't forget to look up and enjoy Ma Nature at her best!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Weekend weather

2009-01-09T19:21:00.003-05:00

If your gonna be outside tomorrow your gonna really enjoy the day its gonna be beautiful! High around seventy five,seventy six. Southeast winds around 10 mph...becoming south in the afternoon. I'm gonna get up early tomorrow and clean my house so i can enjoy the outside in the afternoon.
Sunday the weather starts to change with a cold front moving in, their is a 30 percent chance of rain and the blue skies that you enjoyed on Saturday will be filled with clouds i enjoys so much. More chilly weather ahead It looks like Florida's winter has kicked in.
Have A great weekend!
Jess

Christmas rainbow

2009-01-07T20:06:00.004-05:00

Yup just now getting this up. This was a very special Christmas and in the end we were rewarded with a beautiful rainbow.
I have been very busy lately and soon i will getting my blogging back up.
Weather has been pretty much the same for so long that there really was no need for an update.
We are getting our first cold front tonight since winter started. Its really not gonna get that cold, tonight lows in upper 40's tomorrow upper 60's for a high. which is chilly for us here Florida since we have been in the 80's for so long. That's a twenty degree difference. The rain we received today is the last chance till Sunday ,Monday and Tuesday and that is only a twenty percent chance. Its been real dry in our parts. Beautiful days even for someone like me to enjoy. Although I am missing the summer action.
I am not gonna make to the plains this year as see so far, But i am gonna try like heck to make to the sea breeze boundaries here in Florida. With or with out a camera.
No Santa didn't bring me a new camera. The shot i took of the rainbow was with old camera that barely works i surprised to get the shots I did.
any who gotta go for now. I will blog again for the weekend weather update.
Take care!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Warm and beautiful! Ha Ha!

2008-12-20T07:25:00.004-05:00

Florida is looking like paradise!
Yup I will rub it in, it is warm and beautiful! We do have a mild cold front moving in due to arrive Monday, with one day of chilly weather. The high in the 60's but Tuesday we quickly rebound and are back in the 70's once again.
Christmas is looking good as well, highs in the lower seventy's and a slight chance of precipitation.
I am missing the storm action,SSD I think it is- Severe Storm Deprivation.
Without a camera right now i guess its a good there is nothing going on. I really miss my camera and so wish for a new one but its not on the need list and the need list is a lot longer then the want list. I saw two beautiful sun dogs this week and i got to show them to my family who has never seen them before or if they did they didnt know what it was.
Its been rather crazy at my house, My husband was in the hospital and was out of work for a week and now he must go through life changes to insure his health. I pray his will is strong! With Christmas knocking on the doors of course i have been shopping which I hate. I know I am a girl I should love it but i dont. Not even a little bit. Our bosses at work were generous with a Christmas bonus this year which we were not expecting but will help out nicely. Kudos to The Blind King!

If I dont blog again before Christmas, Have A merry Christmas!
To all my friends: I love you guys and I hope This new year approaching will bring new and wonderful adventures!
P.S Dont forget to look up the sky is beautiful and should be appreciated on a daily basis!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Possible severe weather for west Pasco Florida

2008-11-29T17:16:00.002-05:00

Wha who! tomorrow is looking good for some severe weather!
Its been so long, I am so excited! Just saw this on NOAA....
A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES
TONIGHT THEN UP ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON SUNDAY. A TRAILING
COLD FRONT FROM THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
WATERS EARLY ON SUNDAY THEN ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL INCREASE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. INCREASING LOW AND MID LEVEL
WIND FIELDS AND STRONG UPWARD LIFT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT SUGGESTS
THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES...OR MARINE WATERSPOUTS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS IF
ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION.
I am going to borrow a friends camera, since I am still with out one. Depending on the time of its arrival i am hoping to catch it coming in off the water. If you happen to read this tonight keep you fingers crossed for me.

Ch Ch Chilly

2008-11-17T19:37:00.004-05:00

This photo was taken when it was nice and warm outside but i thought the tree looked wintry.

Brrrrrrrrr Florida gets blasted with more cold air. Here in Port Richey its 50 degrees.
Which to you folks up north is nothing and i know you dont feel sorry for me. For me Brrrr and its gonna get colder tomorrow night.
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY)...THE COLD AND DRY AIRMASS OVER
FLORIDA WILL GET A REINFORCEMENT FROM THE NORTH AS ANOTHER SURGE
OF MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THIS
SECONDARY SURGE IS EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH THE
STRONGEST COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE TUESDAY NIGHT.
This is Florida so you know by the weekend we will see highs back in the upper 70's.
I have yet another job, I left the restaurant world Just couldn't bare working nights anymore. That and some other issues i wont go into. I didn't miss a beat though, I was working at my new job the next day and get this folks I work Monday through Friday 7-330. Its a factory job but For my son, Being home for him is worth it.
All is well here, my kitty's are doing good still looking for a home for the white one hopefully soon having four cats is a handful. Well thats all the time i have its 8:00 and its to read to my son have a good night and if I don't see you later, Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening.
:@)
Jess
CloudStalker

Hurricane PALOMA

2008-11-07T08:57:00.004-05:00

Yesterday about 530pm I was watching T.S. Paloma saying to myself damn that looks like a Hurricane to me, Great rotation, strong storms. At seven pm They indeed upgraded her.
Possibley the last hurricane of the season and it looks like the Grand Cayman might get a direct hit. It looks like Poor Cuba will also take another hit this season as well . A strong trough of low pressure approaching the U.S. East Coast is pulling Paloma to the north, and this trough should continue to pull the storm northwards and then turn it northeastward by Saturday. Florida is in the clear. Her is something intresting I read from Dr. Jeff Masters site:Historical note
This year and 2005 are the only seasons that we've had major hurricanes in the Atlantic in four separate months--July, August, September, and October. If Paloma becomes a major hurricane, it will make 2008 the first year since record keeping began in 1851 to feature major hurricanes in five separate months.
I wonder what next year will bring we seem to be breaking records each year.

Weather for us her in sunny Florida remains normal for this time of the year, nothing like the end of October where we had record breaking low temperatures. We do have a cold front approaching,

A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTH FLORIDA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE GETS NUDGED INTO THE ATLANTIC. THE CLOUDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL PROBABLY NOT REACH OUR NORTHERN
ZONES UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE ON SATURDAY.

SATURDAY WILL FEATURE A PRIMARILY DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...
ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUDS AROUND. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
PICK UP A LITTLE BIT FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT...AND
CLEARING SKIES MAY EVEN MOVE INTO THE NATURE COAST BEFORE SUNSET.

IT WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR RAPIDLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH COOLER AIR MOVING IN ONCE AGAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL
SETTLE INTO THE LOWER 40S OVER THE NATURE COAST...BUT REMAIN
CLOSER TO THE LOWER 50S OR SO OVER MOST OF INTERIOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

SUNDAY WILL BE A TYPICAL NOVEMBER DAY WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND
MILD TEMPERATURES.

Sounds good to me!!!
If you noticed I have been blogging less, its because my little camera has finely went to camera heaven. I am without. I have no credit cards and no extra money to replace it. so until the camera fairy comes I will have no pictures to share. I am very bummed. very bummed. Oh Well I have a roof over my head and some food for our belly's so life goes on.
Have a great weekend!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

sky watch #18

2008-10-23T14:14:00.003-04:00

Yup another sunset sky watch, I just cant help myself. We went to Port Richey waterfront park yesterday for dinner -Burgers and chips- And I took 87 pictures while I was there. My hub asks why I take so many pictures and I tell him today will be gone tomorrow but I have it forever at a touch of a button. Make sense? I think so.
Happy sky watching!!!
Jess
Sunset Stalker

Last weeks full moon

2008-10-21T09:34:00.004-04:00

My simple version of the full moon last week. I should have grabbed my tripod but I was just sitting outside enjoying the night before I came inside I grabbed the camera and took a quick shot.

A perfect October morning today, right now its 70 degrees out with very mild breeze.
Our high today will be about 84. How perfect is that!
The disturbance out in the CARIBBEAN is not likely to devolop any further because it will encounter land, but heavy rain is expected.
Tropical moisture is due back in Florida come Thursday but NOAA is a little unsure what will happen with our rain chances."MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE
TROUBLE RESOLVING THE EXACT LOCATION...TIMING AND STRENGTH OF
SYSTEMS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THEY TRY TO
DEVELOP AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF/WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND MOVE IT ACROSS FLORIDA DURING FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT DIFFERENCES ABOUND. DO THINK THAT THERE WILL BE A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
EARLY IN THE PERIOD WHICH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. WILL THEREFORE NOT MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES TO ONGOING
FORECAST AND LEAVE CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY."
We are encountering the beginning of our dry season, which blows because we didn't get enough rain here this summer. The beginning of the summer was great nice and wet but the second half went dry. We have sand spurs everywhere.Which blows even more because I hate wearing shoes.( I am a true Florida girl)
Well thats for me no rain chances till Thursday night just blue skies and a nice breeze. I guess I can live with that.
Jess
Cloud Stalker

sky watch/Fair-weather clouds

2008-10-16T09:53:00.004-04:00

.

Fair Weather Cumulus Clouds
Fair weather cumulus have the appearance of floating cotton and have a lifetime of 5-40 minutes. Known for their flat bases and distinct outlines, fair weather cumulus exhibit only slight vertical growth, with the cloud tops designating the limit of the rising air. Given suitable conditions, however, harmless fair weather cumulus can later develop into towering cumulonimbus clouds associated with powerful thunderstorms.

Fair weather cumulus are fueled by buoyant bubbles of air, or thermals, that rise upward from the earth's surface. As they rise, the water vapor within cools and condenses forming cloud droplets. Young fair weather cumulus have sharply defined edges and bases while the edges of older clouds appear more ragged, an artifact of cloud erosion. Evaporation along the cloud edges cools the surrounding air, making it heavier and producing sinking motion (or subsidence) outside the cloud.

Source

This will be my 17th Sky watch, wow. I look forward to this all week. This weeks pics are from Sunday, my son and I went on a nice long bike ride which ended up in a new park they built out side of our neighborhood. I got a lot of cool shots if you scroll down a little you will see a couple I posted.
I just Love the sky!

Thank you for stopping in Happy sky watching!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Having fun at the playground

2008-10-15T12:55:00.000-04:00

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

2008-10-15T12:50:00.004-04:00

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER
AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 270
MILES...430 KM...EAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR
THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HURRICANE OMAR

2008-10-15T09:33:00.001-04:00

Hurricane Omar Discussion Number 8

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on October 15, 2008

An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft reports that there has been
no appreciable strengthening of Omar over the past few hours. An
elliptical and partially open eye was observed but the inner core
is not yet well-defined. The central pressure has not fallen and
maximum SFMR-observed surface wind speeds have been near 65
kt...which is used for the advisory intensity. Satellite images
show that Omar continues to generate very deep convection with a
large area of cloud tops colder than -80 deg c. Upper-level
outflow is well-established over the eastern semicircle and
restricted to the west...as westerly shear continues to impact the
hurricane. However...the shear is not expected to be strong enough
to prevent strengthening. The official intensity forecast is the
same as the previous one and a little above the model consensus.
By day 5...global models depict the cyclone interacting with a
strong baroclinic zone over the North Atlantic so the official
forecast shows Omar becoming extratropical by that time.

Initial motion is around 050/6. There has not been much change to
the official forecast track or reasoning. A mid-level trough to
the north of the hurricane along with a ridge to the east is
creating a southwesterly steering current and Omar is expected to
continue northeastward with a gradual increase in forward speed.
The forward motion slows a little around day 3 as the trough lifts
out ahead of Omar. The system should accelerate again near the end
of the period as it encounters the main branch of the mid-latitude
westerlies. Dynamical track prediction models are tightly
clustered...especially for the first 24 hours and the official
forecast is close to the model consensus albeit a little slower.
This is slightly faster than the previous forecast...but more or
less along the same trajectory.

Although the official forecast keeps the center east of Puerto
Rico...a deviation to the left of the current motion could require
changing the Hurricane Watch to a Hurricane Warning for that
island. I will pray that dosnt happen.

A view from a bike ride

2008-10-14T11:09:00.000-04:00

Its a boy/Omar is borm

2008-10-14T11:00:00.003-04:00

Tropical storm Omar is born, but it doesn't look to be a threat for the USA. I will have More information as it becomes available.

Tropical action/Nana downgraded

2008-10-13T23:23:00.004-04:00

My goodness will you look at that the tropic's are having a party and it didn"t invite me.
#1 is in a nice loving environment for its kind, but it will be heading to shore soon.
Perhaps as a depression, i don't think it will be over water long enough to become any more then a great rain maker for portions of Nicaragua,Honduras and Belize.
#2 See that baby blob under Mama blob Nana, yup thats it with the yellow circle around it. That little guy or gurl is gonna encounter unfavorable winds here in the next couple of days, NOAA isn't holding its breathe on this one.
poor mama blob Nana is coming to an end, she is being sheared to death. I dont know how much longer she can hang on.
Now Tropical depression 15 is a little bit more complicated:THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUND PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 34 KT FROM 925 MB...WHICH DOES NOT
SUPPORT AN UPGRADE TO A TROPICAL STORM. THERE WERE SFMR WINDS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE...BUT IN RAINY CONDITIONS THIS WIND SPEED
RANGE IS NOT WHERE THE INSTRUMENT PERFORMS BEST. THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION IS ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WITH SOME
WESTERLY SHEAR STILL EVIDENT IN INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GFS...ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE INDICATES
THAT THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE ABLE TO STRENGTHEN IN WHAT SHOULD BE A
MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH THE GFDL
AND HWRF BOTH MAKING THE SYSTEM A HURRICANE BEFORE IT EXITS THE
CARIBBEAN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE
INTENSITY GUIDANCE.

THERE IS VERY LITTLE SURROUNDING MID-LEVEL FLOW AND THE DEPRESSION
IS ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY. A LARGE UPPER-LOW EAST OF NEW ENGLAND
IS DRIVING SOUTHWARD IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...AND THIS FEATURE IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LIFTING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD IN
ANOTHER 24-36 HOURS. COMPARED TO SIX HOURS AGO THE GUIDANCE HAS
SHIFTED WESTWARD...WITH SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER THE CYCLONE
WILL BE CAPTURED BY THE UPPER LOW. A MAJORITY OF THE MODELS NOW
SHOW THE CYCLONE BEING LEFT BEHIND BY THIS FEATURE. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED TO THE LEFT AT THE LONGER RANGES AND IS
IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF. THE HWRF AND GFDL ARE MUCH
SLOWER BRINGING THE SYSTEM OUT OF THE CARIBBEAN AND CONSEQUENTLY
ARE EVEN FARTHER TO THE LEFT.
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
See what I mean, But It sure does look like this one will be named by as early as tomorrow. As always I will be watching for any continuing development.Its late now or very early how every you look at I'm getting goofy and should head off to bed.
Good night.
Jess cloud Stalker
view from a bike ride Sunday.

Tropical Storm Nana/98L

2008-10-13T09:34:00.004-04:00

Nana remains in an environment of strong westerly shear and the
low-cloud center is displaced well to the west of the main blob of
deep convection. An ascat pass from 2332 UTC measured 30-35 kt
winds over the northeast quadrant of the cyclone. Given the
disorganization of the system it is possible that...since the time
of that overpass...Nana may have weakened below tropical storm
strength. However...because of the uncertainties...I will maintain
the intensity at 35 kt for now. The global model's 200 mb wind
forecasts shows 25-30 kt westerly winds over the area for the next
36 hours or so...so we do not expect the shear to lessen
significantly in the near future. Nana will likely weaken and
degenerate into a remnant low within 24 hours.

Initial motion is estimated to be 285/6. Nana or its remnant should
continue this general motion while situated to south-southwest of a
low- to mid-level high pressure ridge over the eastern Atlantic.
The official forecast track...like the previous one...is on the
south side of the guidance envelope and leans toward the shallow
BAM track...albeit not quite as fast as that guidance.
98L

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 275
MILES SOUTH OF THE EASTERN TIP OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND IF
THIS TREND CONTINUES...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS ACCOMPANIED BY
GUSTY WINDS AND A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAINS WHICH COULD PRODUCE
LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND A
PORTION OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE
CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

Sky Watch Friday/What Determines Sky's Colors At Sunrise And Sunset?

2008-10-09T13:48:00.006-04:00

Sky Watch Friday is hosted by:Tom, Sandy, IMAC , Klaus & Ivar. For a free trip around the world to see the skies click HERE.

What Determines Sky's Colors At Sunrise And Sunset?
ScienceDaily (Nov. 15, 2007) — The colors of the sunset result from a phenomenon called scattering, says Steven Ackerman, professor of meteorology at UW-Madison. Molecules and small particles in the atmosphere change the direction of light rays, causing them to scatter.

Scattering affects the color of light coming from the sky, but the details are determined by the wavelength of the light and the size of the particle. The short-wavelength blue and violet are scattered by molecules in the air much more than other colors of the spectrum. This is why blue and violet light reaches our eyes from all directions on a clear day. But because we can't see violet very well, the sky appears blue.

Scattering also explains the colors of the sunrise and sunset, Ackerman says.

“Because the sun is low on the horizon, sunlight passes through more air at sunset and sunrise than during the day, when the sun is higher in the sky. More atmosphere means more molecules to scatter the violet and blue light away from your eyes. If the path is long enough, all of the blue and violet light scatters out of your line of sight. The other colors continue on their way to your eyes. This is why sunsets are often yellow, orange, and red.”

And because red has the longest wavelength of any visible light, the sun is red when it’s on the horizon, where its extremely long path through the atmosphere blocks all other colors.

SOURCE
I hope everyone has a great weekend and have a great time sky watching!!!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Love that INSTABILITY !

2008-10-07T09:58:00.002-04:00

This was The beginning of a two hour rain event. I was even honored with thunder. I missed that sound. I don't think we had one storm in September. It wasn't nothing to brag about but it helped.We might even get some more today.
DISCUSSION...AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY (PW`S ~2"/LI`S -4C) VIA 12Z
RAOB DATA COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD AGAIN HELP TO GENERATE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T-STORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
WITH AN EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ALBEIT LIGHT FAVORING THE GREATEST STORM
COVERAGE AND HIGHEST POPS ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY SLOW STORM MOTION WILL AGAIN
SUPPORT SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN SOME LOCATIONS. A GOOD DEAL OF
SUNSHINE PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF CONVECTION WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS THROUGHOUT...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S
EXPECTED IN MOST LOCATIONS. CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO MORNING
UPDATE PLANNED.
Here's to hoping!!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

TROPICAL STORM MARCO

2008-10-07T09:36:00.001-04:00

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132008
700 AM CDT TUE OCT 07 2008

...MARCO EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATER TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO VERACRUZ. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARCO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...125 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

MARCO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARCO SHOULD MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...AND MARCO
COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES THE COAST.

MARCO IS AN EXTREMELY SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ONLY EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

MARCO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES... WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICAN STATES OF NORTHERN VERACRUZ...NORTHERN
PUEBLA... HILDALGO...AND SAN LUIS POTOSI.

Sun Halo-Skywatch Friday

2008-10-02T09:37:00.007-04:00

Sky Watch Friday is hosted by:Tom, Sandy, IMAC , Klaus & Ivar
For a free trip around the world to see the skies just click on the link.

A halo (ἅλως; also known as a nimbus, icebow or Gloriole) is an optical phenomenon that appears near or around the Sun or Moon, and sometimes near other strong light sources such as street lights. There are many types of optical halos, but they are mostly caused by ice crystals in cold cirrus clouds located high (5–10 km, or 3–6 miles) in the upper troposphere. The particular shape and orientation of the crystals is responsible for the type of halo observed. Light is reflected and refracted by the ice crystals and may split up into colors because of dispersion, similarly to the rainbow.

Sometimes in very cold weather optical halos are formed by crystals close to ground level, called diamond dust. The crystals behave like jewels, refracting and reflecting sunlight between their faces, sending shafts of light in particular directions.

Atmospheric phenomena such as halos were used as an empirical means of weather forecasting before meteorology was developed.

Other common optical phenomena involving water droplets rather than ice crystals include the glory and the rainbow. SOURCE

This photo was taken in July of '07. I have featured this photo before in this blog, but I thought I would share it with the sky watchers.
I started a new blog yesterday called Silly Me I started it because in these hard times everybody needs a smile. So each day I am posting a joke from all the fwrds I get in my email box.If you have a funny joke or a funny picture you would like to share with me you can send it to my email @ cloudstalker.jess@yahoo.com.
Have a fantastic day!!
Peace and Love!!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Cloud stalker

2008-10-01T09:46:00.004-04:00

This picture was taken a couple days ago, The sky was teasing us with rain.

Nothing new today weather wise, Dry air will be filling the state and beautiful weather will stick around for the next couple of days. I started a a couple new blogs, I wanted to share more of me and who I am. You can find the links on the top left hand side of my blog. I will be adding more as the ideas come to me.
Have a happy day!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

Intrest in the Gulf/Not so intresting

2008-09-30T10:08:00.003-04:00

. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...WESTERN CUBA...FLORIDA...AND THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED HERE OR ELSEWHERE DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
Yes we finely received some rain but not much, most of the showers remained south.
The GOM is under high shear right now, so nothing but light showers are expected with this system. We have some dry air coming which will take all pops out of the equation,until this weekend:A ROBUST UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE THE WEST...SHIFTING A RIDGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS
AND LIFTING THE EAST COAST TROUGH NORTH. THIS ALLOWS A RIDGE FROM
THE ATLANTIC TO THE CARIBBEAN TO CREEP NORTHWARD OVER THE STATE
BRINGING THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WITH IT...PROVIDING INCREASING
MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND INTO MON.
But I will keep monitoring the weather for any changes.
This year has been a bust for me for storm chasing with my car problems i haven't been able to travel to the seabreeze boundary's. I am hoping this will change by next season. I am a poor girl living day to day with no credit(which is probably good right now)but i am doing what I can to change that. I still want more then anything to be a storm chaser to capture mother nature at here best. I don't want to make money from this, it is just a life's pursuit. I can't wait for the day when i can chase and photograph an awesome storm. My time is near for now i just read what I can and watch all the video I can.Learn from the world.
Peace and love!
Jess
Cloud stalker
Update: Sub tropical storm Laura lost the sub as of 11am she became tropical with near 60mph winds.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. LAURA WILL BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TONIGHT
AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON WEDNESDAY. I didn't expect that.

Subtropical Storm LAURA

2008-09-29T09:49:00.003-04:00

Laura is expected to remain over 25c-26c SSTs for the next 24 hours
and also be under light to moderate shear conditions. Therefore...
some additional strengthening is forecast. However...if the current
trend of convection wrapping around the center continues...then
subtropical storm Laura could quickly transition over to a tropical
cyclone and become a hurricane with a banding eye feature later
today. By 36 hours...Laura is expected to be moving over much
cooler water...which should induce weakening along with a gradual
transition to extratropical status.-forecaster Stewart-

Kyle is considered to be extratropical, so besides Laura there is no activity going on in the Atlantic. All is calm again for the moment.
I thought we would see some rain today but it looks like it will remain south of the Tampa bay. DEEP MOISTURE WILL DRIFT NORTH AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
AND MOVES ALONG A BOUNDARY LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TAMPA BAY REGION SOUTH AND EAST. We could see some SCATTERED thunderstorms later this evening but for us on the coast it is a wait and see. I am bummed. I haven't seen a decent storm in quite awhile. I bet there will be a nice sunset tonight, but for the past couple of month's that's all the photos i have been taken,.I might have to change my name to sunset stalker.
That's all for now.
Jess
CLOUD STALKER!!!!

Hurricane Kyle

2008-09-27T19:28:00.012-04:00

Kyle upgraded to a tropical storm Thursday and grew up today and now kyle is our 6th Atlantic hurricane this season. The tropics have woken up from it's little nap and now the Atlantic is quite active again with 3 areas of interest and of course kyle.

Kyle is headed to the Maine and Canada's Maritime provinces,defiantly not a fish storm.

At 5pm, Kyle was about 780km south of the island of Nantucket, Massachusetts, and moving north at 37kph.
The way north is about to get a taste of the tropics.As Dew would say"Great googley moogley!

Tropical Storm Kyle continues to grow in strength as it makes its way toward the U.S. coast. Image: gsloan/Flickr.
I had to share the picture its not mine as you can see from the title below the picture but it sure is beautiful!
I wonder how the east coast is handleing these stong waves bashing it's shore.
WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH, N.C. -- Strong winds kicked up rough surf Thursday as an intense low-pressure system chugged toward the Southeast coast with wind gusts of up to 50 mph, knocking out power to thousands of homes in Virginia.SOURCE

image credit
Now onto my weather: Beautiful! What more can I say. Not a cloud in the sky today over my area and my ac has been off since Thursday when the dry air covered my area.Sweet.See that black circle?Thats where I am at. Its not gonna last, good things never do. Not to be negative but here in Florida perfect weather comes in waves.Here is a clip from NOAA weather discussion:AREA TO TRANSITION INTO MORE MOIST PATTERN
INTO MIDWEEK. DRY AIR OVER N FL TO HOLD INTO SUNDAY WHILE SFC FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AND ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER S FL SLOWLY MOVES NWARD
OVER THE FL PENINSULA REMAINDER OF WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. UPPER TROUGHINESS
TO HOLD OVER THE DEEP SOUTH PRODUCING SW FLOW ALOFT WITH SERIES OF
EMBEDDED VORT MAXES ROTATING OVER THE AREA IN OVERALL FLOW. EXPECT
SHARP MOISTURE GRADIENT AS SFC BOUNDARY MIGRATES FROM S FL TO SW FL
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY TO CENTRAL FL MONDAY.
But then there is this: MID LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING
SOUTHEAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL STEER A LOW PRESSURE AREA
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TOWARD
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE
SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH A FOLLOWING COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STATE. MODELS VARY ON TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM BUT AT THE VERY LEAST THE SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY
CONDITIONS AND RAIN. NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL USHER IN
DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. I love the dry air but no clouds is a sad sad thing I love to stalk them clouds as you lnow so it looks like i will have my chance Monday.
I am trying my best to keep my blog updated i have been slacking quite a bit this summer, I am not going to make any promises but i am gonna try to at least sumit a picture each day.
Hope the rest of your weekend is grand! peace and love!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

SKY WATCH FRIDAY/ON THURSDAY

2008-09-25T10:37:00.011-04:00

To see the sky from around the world click on this link. Thanks to Tom, Sandy, IMAC & Klaus for making this so much fun! Today's Picture is from last week we had a A stationary front stalled over my area, which created such beautiful skies. If you scroll down to my past post you will see more of the beautiful skies i captured. With each passing moment the skies changed it was fantastic. God's handy work.

A stationary front is a boundary between two different air masses, neither of which is strong enough to replace the other. They tend to remain essentially in the same area for extended periods of time, and waves sometimes propagate along the frontal boundary. A wide variety of weather can be found along a stationary front, but usually clouds, prolonged precipitation, and storm trains are found there. Stationary fronts will either dissipate after several days or devolve into shear lines, but can change into a cold or warm front if conditions aloft change.-source

There was no rain for us here but along the seabreeze boundaries storms were popping up everywhere.

Jess
Cloud Stalker

Summer is gone an autumn is here

2008-09-23T09:27:00.003-04:00

It feels like fall is in the air, nice breeze and what i thought was dryer air. The humity is still at 85% which if you felt the air here you would be surprized too. Dry air is moving in and tonight our low goes down to a nice 71 degrees. I wonder if i will be able to convince hubby to turn off the ac tonight. Yesterday we should of saw some rain with the blob that was out in the gulf but as usual it went north and south of us and all we got here was a couple of sprinkles. Today the rain will mostly be south of Pasco...of course. 93L still hasn't changed much but NOAA is saying it could become a depression any day now. This will not effect Florida,here is a look at the spaghetti models.

Looks like this could be a fish storm.
Or not.
This is from Dr.Jeff Master wonder blog:
The track forecast
The models agree on a slow west-northwesterly motion for 93L today, with a turn to the northwest or north-northwest on Tuesday. An extratropical storm is expected to develop off the coast of South Carolina by Wednesday, and five of our six reliable models predict that 93L and the extratropical storm will rotate cyclonically around a common center (the Fujiwhara effect), sending 93L hurtling into the U.S. East Coast on Friday somewhere between North Carolina and Massachusetts. The outlier is the UKMET model, which predicts that 93L will absorb the energy that would have gone into creating the extratropical low. This might convert 93L into a hybrid subtropical storm that would affect the coast of North and South Carolina late this week with sustained winds in the 50-60 mph range. Considering that we are trying to forecast a complicated interaction between two storms that have yet to form, the current model forecasts for 93L are highly uncertain. Residents along the entire U.S. East Coast from Georgia to Maine should anticipate the possibility of a strong tropical storm affecting them by Friday.Wow!
I love his Blog he is such a smart man. for some reason I cant insert links right now but his blog is to the left. Thats it for me, have a great day!
Jess
Cloud Stalker

sunset in pasco,florida

2008-09-22T14:13:00.001-04:00

Summer days drifting away/more on Ike after math

2008-09-17T09:47:00.007-04:00

yesterday evening was so nice, the breeze the sky. I am enjoying these last nights of summer. I know I know I am in Florida just because Fall is next Monday doesn't mean a thing our nights will continue to be warm for awhile yet. Still I love sitting out front watching my son ride his bike.

Watching the beautiful sky as the sun goes down.

I have a couple more really good shots but i am saving them for sky watch tomorrow.

I can't stop thinking about Ike and the Bolivar Peninsula,I just can't believe how many people stayed. It just boggles my mind. Why? is all I keep asking myself. I mean I want to chase Hurricane one day, but when Noaa says "certain Death will happen if you dont leave the coast" I am gone...See ya....later dudes... 400 people chose to ride it out, do you think they survided? Look down at the picture below and then check out the link and you tell me. Stupid just plain stupid.

Dr. Abby Sallenger, Jr. of the USGS described yesterday's damage survey flight:

Here's what we saw in our overflight from about Grand Chenier in western Louisiana to Freeport below Galveston.

We saw vast areas flooded by storm surge; the water extended landward in places for tens of kilometers. The beaches served as rims that contained the flood waters. In Louisiana, channels were cut (naturally) through the beaches so the water would drain seaward. Where the max surge occurred (between Bolivar Peninsula and Sabine Pass), the returning water completely submerged the Gulf shore for kilometers. The maximum impacts were on the Bolivar Peninsula, the site of our example comparisons online now.Source-USGS
Check out the link for more photos and more information on this horrific event.

It looks like we will have a lull for storms in the alantic right now but I bet it wont last long, by next week check back with me and I bet I will have something to talk about.
Gotta go for now take care and God Bless!
Jess Cloud Stalker
If you want to make a donation to hurricane Ike victims here is a the link to the red cross

Believe it or not i wish i was there with these guys

2008-09-16T13:27:00.000-04:00

Hurricane Ike aftermath

2008-09-13T18:39:00.002-04:00

Sept. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane Ike plowed into Texas early today, driving the Gulf of Mexico's waters into Galveston Island, blowing out office-building windows and cutting power to at least 4.5 million people in the Houston area.

The storm flooded homes, shut oil refineries and scattered 2.3 million people in two states who fled before its fury arrived. Winds blew pine trees sideways in Houston, the nation's fourth-biggest city, where electrical transformers sparked and residents waited out the hurricane in their homes last night under a citywide curfew.

Officials expressed relief the storm didn't turn out to be the ``catastrophic'' event that U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff had warned about yesterday. Texas Governor Rick Perry said a 20-foot ``tsunami'' of water might surge up the 54- mile Houston Ship Channel, which serves area refineries.

``The worst-case scenario that was projected before the storm, particularly in the Houston Ship Channel, did not occur,'' Perry said in a televised press conference today. He cautioned, though, that ``there is still plenty of damage out there.''

Ike weakened to a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour (72 kph), down from 110 mph, or Category 2, at its early morning landfall in Galveston, the Miami-based National Hurricane Center said in an advisory just before 4 p.m. local time. It was southeast of Tyler, Texas, moving north at 18 mph and headed for western Arkansas tonight.

Search and Rescue

Chertoff said 50 aircraft are now in the air on search-and- rescue missions, which Perry said was the state's largest such operation ever.

Ike was the first storm to hit a major U.S. metropolitan area since Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans in 2005. The Houston area, with a population of 5.6 million, is the sixth largest in the U.S., according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

The storm surge in Galveston, predicted to be as high as 25 feet (7.6 meters), may have peaked at only 12.5 feet, according to a National Weather Service tidal gauge.

``With the eye and the eye wall passing directly over Galveston, that was kind of their saving grace,'' said Joe Bartosik, a meteorologist with WeatherBug.com. ``Even though they took the storm core, they escaped the really damaging side.''

About 40 percent of Galveston's 57,400 people decided to stay and ride out the storm, Steve LeBlanc, the city manager, said in a televised press conference yesterday.

Prepared for `Worst'

``We hope that people were able to find a place to hide,'' said Chertoff, who is flying to Texas later today. Still, ``we're prepared for the worst.''

A 300-foot pier and eight concrete supports broke away and became a battering ram that tore the front off of Bill King's Bermuda-style house in Kemah, Texas, piling up books and golf clubs among the stunned birds already lying on the grass.

King, who has helped advise on Houston's hurricane evacuations, found himself a victim of Ike's storm surge that left water from Galveston Bay in the swimming pool of his weekend home.

``It's a mess,'' said King, a former mayor of Kemah, which is about 28 miles southeast of Houston. ``This house had never been inundated before, and it has been in some pretty good hurricanes.''

Bartosik said areas along the Texas coast stretching into southwestern Louisiana received a far greater storm surge than Galveston did. In Port Arthur, Texas, storm surges of between 15 to 20 feet were recorded and Beaumont, Texas, 78 miles northeast of Houston, has about 9 feet of water in its downtown.

`Our Town'

The Kemah Boardwalk, an amusement park that draws about 5 million visitors to the city annually, was under water.

``It's our town; we'll be back,'' City Administrator Bill Kerber said in an interview.

Houston's 75-story JPMorgan Chase Tower had windows on its west side smashed out, according to the local CBS affiliate, KHOU-TV. The Enron Building and Crown Plaza Hotel were also damaged, the station reported. The city's George Bush Intercontinental Airport and William P. Hobby airports remained closed.

Bartosik said Doppler radar showed winds were blowing as high as 130 mph above the 10th floor of buildings in downtown Houston.

``That accounts for a lot of the blown-out windows that have occurred,'' Bartosik said by telephone. ``Houston was in the western eye wall for a good hour-and-a-half.''

The storm has closed 19 percent of the refining capacity in the U.S. At least 13 refineries in Texas shut down including those operated by Exxon Mobil Corp., Valero Energy Corp., ConocoPhillips and Royal Dutch Shell Plc. Gulf Coast refineries and ports are the source of half of the fuel and crude used in the eastern U.S.

Without Power

About 4.5 million people are in the Houston-based CenterPoint Energy Inc.'s service area and ``almost all of them are without power.'' Before the storm hit, CenterPoint estimated it could be weeks to restore power, said Floyd LeBlanc, a company spokesman.

``We may have to revise that,'' he said. ``We have gotten literally thousands of calls from customers reporting downed power lines.''

The hurricane may cause $8 billion to $18 billion in insured losses on land as it moves from coastal Galveston to Houston and further inland, according to Oakland, California-based Eqecat Inc., which predicts the effects of disasters.

Ike left more than 70 people dead in Haiti and killed four in Cuba as it swept through the Caribbean earlier this week. CNN reported at least four people have been killed so far in Texas.

President George W. Bush said this morning the federal government was ``prepared to move'' quickly to help Texas recover. He declared a major disaster for Texas, which makes federal funding available to people living in 29 counties hit by Ike.

To contact the reporters on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at bsullivan10@bloomberg.net; Tom Korosec in Houston, via the New York newsroom at mschoifet@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 13, 2008 16:41 EDT SOURCE

Skywatch Friday/Hurricane Ike

2008-09-12T13:15:00.006-04:00

Photo taken yesterday afternoon.looking to the west. With Hurricane Ike in the gulf of Mexico our skies have been filled with clouds of all types. I like this shot because the tree puts a frame around a confused sky.

This shot was taken from looking strait up.

This shot was taken looking to the north.

This shot was taken looking from the east

Onto Hurricane Ike

I wanted to share this from Dr.Jeff Masters blog you can view it in whole by clicking on his name.
Posted by: JeffMasters, 3:26 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Hurricane Ike is closing in on Texas, and stands poised to become one of the most damaging hurricanes of all time. Despite Ike's rated Category 2 strength, the hurricane is much larger and more powerful than Category 5 Katrina or Category 5 Rita. The storm surge from Ike could rival Katrina's, inundating a 200-mile stretch of coast from Galveston to Cameron, Louisiana with waters over 15 feet high. This massive storm surge is due to the exceptional size of Ike. According to the latest wind field estimate (Figure 1), the diameter of Ike's tropical storm and hurricane force winds are 550 and 240 miles, respectively. For comparison, Katrina numbers at landfall were 440 and 210 miles, respectively. As I discussed in yesterday's blog entry, a good measure of the storm surge potential is Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE). Ike continues to grow larger and has intensified slightly since yesterday, and the hurricane's Integrated Kinetic Energy has increased from 134 to 149 Terajoules. This is 30% higher than Katrina's total energy at landfall. All this extra energy has gone into piling up a vast storm surge that will probably be higher than anything in recorded history along the Texas coast. Storm surge heights of 20-25 feet are possible from Galveston northwards to the Louisiana border. The Texas storm surge record is held by Hurricane Carla of 1961. Carla was a Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds at landfall, and drove a 10 foot or higher storm surge to a 180-mile stretch of Texas coast. A maximum storm surge of 22 feet was recorded at Port Lavaca, Texas.
This Storm could make history folks. My prayer goes out to all those who will be effect by this huge storm. There talking 50ft waves. Holy Moly! God be with them all!
A fellow blogger is making his journey to Galveston now if you want to check in with hi, go to Ham Wx His live feed should be up soon.
Jess
Cloud Stalker

HURRICANE IKE

2008-09-05T08:40:00.002-04:00

HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

THE EYE OF IKE HAS LOST A LITTLE OF ITS DEFINITION...AND CLOUD TOPS
OF THE EYEWALL HAVE WARMED SOMEWHAT. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE COME
DOWN SLIGHTLY AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 110 KT.
MICROWAVE IMAGERY JUST RECEIVED FROM THE AMSR-E DOES NOT REVEAL ANY
SIGNIFICANT DETERIORATION OF THE INNER CORE STRUCTURE...NOR DOES IT
DEPICT CONCENTRIC EYEWALLS...SO RAPID WEAKENING DOES NOT APPEAR TO
BE ABOUT TO OCCUR. THAT IMAGERY DOES SHOW SOME EROSION OF THE
NORTHWESTERN EYEWALL...AND GIVEN THE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR...THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR SOME WEAKENING IN THE SHORT TERM.
GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST THE SHEAR TO LESSEN BEYOND 24 HOURS...AS IKE
REMAINS OVER WATERS NEAR 29 CELSIUS...SO RESTRENGTHENING IS THEN
FORECAST. THE HWRF FORECASTS IKE TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT DAYS
3-5...BUT THE GFDL DOES NOT SINCE ITS TRACK GOES OVER CUBA.
MEANWHILE THE SHIPS AND LGEM FORECAST A WEAKER HURRICANE...ALTHOUGH
THE LGEM PREDICTION APPEARS MORE REALISTIC SINCE IT DOES A BETTER
JOB OF TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE EVENTUAL LESSENING OF THE SHEAR.
SINCE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REMAINS OVER WATER THROUGH 96
HOURS...A BLEND OF THE HWRF AND LGEM SEEMS TO BE REASONABLE...AND
IKE IS FORECAST TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LONGER RANGES. THE ONLY
REASON FOR THE WEAKENING AT THE END IS THAT THE FIVE-DAY POINT IS
OVER LAND...WHICH IS NOT A CERTAINTY.

THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE HAS SETTLED IN DIRECTLY NORTH OF IKE...AS THE
HIGH-LATITUDE TROUGH DEPARTS ATLANTIC CANADA...AND THE HURRICANE IS
NOW HEADED DUE WESTWARD OR 270/13. NEXT TO DEPART THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC SCENE WILL BE HANNA...AND ALL DYNAMICAL MODELS SAY THAT IN
ITS PLACE THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD TO FLORIDA IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS. A KEY UNKNOWN FOR THE 3-5 DAY FORECAST IS HOW
STRONG THAT RIDGE WILL BE AND HOW LONG IT WILL REMAIN INTACT. IN
GENERAL DURING THE LAST DAY OR TWO THE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING
TOWARD THE RIDGE STAYING IN PLACE LONGER...RESULTING IN TRACKS
MAINTAINING THE GENERALLY WESTWARD MOTION LONGER AND DELAYING ANY
POTENTIAL TURN TO THE NORTH. THAT TREND HAS CONTINUED SOMEWHAT ON
THIS CYCLE...BUT THE CONSENSUS HAS ONLY SHIFTED WEST SLIGHTLY AT
DAYS 4 AND 5. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ALMOST IDENTICAL
TO THE PREVIOUS ONE THROUGH 72 HOURS...IS JUST NUDGED TOWARD THE
CONSENSUS BEYOND THAT TIME...AND GIVES THE MOST WEIGHT TO THE GFS
AND HWRF. IT CANNOT BE SAID ENOUGH THAT FIVE-DAY TRACK FORECASTS
CAN HAVE SIGNIFICANT ERRORS...AND COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT THE
MODEL SPREAD IS STILL NOTABLE BEYOND 72 HOURS...ONE SHOULD NOT
FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK.

HURRICANE IKE

2008-09-03T18:55:00.001-04:00

HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...IKE BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2008 ATLANTIC SEASON...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST OR ABOUT 670 MILES...1080
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE
WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE
AFFECTED BY IKE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.6 N...52.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

TROPICAL STORM HANNA

2008-09-03T18:40:00.004-04:00

Photo from sept 1st. Source -Nasa
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND REPLACED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT IN HISPANIOLA FROM PORT
AU PRINCE HAITI NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...NORTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 60 MILES
... 95 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA
SHOULD BE MOVING THROUGH OR JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA...WHERE THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE ADJACENT WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.9 N...71.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

Skywatch Friday

2008-08-29T09:29:00.005-04:00

With all the rain we have had i have seen quite a few rainbows,i still havent found the pot of gold, but i havent stop looking ether.
Skywatch friday to join in with the world click on this LINK

Some where under the rainbow there is always a wacky weather chick with a camera.

Jess
Cloud Stalker

HURRICANE GUSTAV

2008-08-26T09:39:00.003-04:00

We got a hurricane in the house!! GUSTAV A LITTLE STRONGER...NEARING THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI...
And 2 more interest out there that look good for the ripening. I am gonna have to agree this 2008 storm season has been off the wall. Gustav looks like its gonna go major, once it hits those gulf waters its any one game. Will it be a Florida storm, i don't know.:AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...
125 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 265 MILES
...425 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY. ON THIS TRACK THIS HURRICANE SHOULD MOVE OVER
SOUTHWESTERN HAITI LATER TODAY AND NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF
EASTERN CUBA ON WEDNESDAY.

Ridging is expected to develop over Florida helping to turn Gustav more westerly in the longer-term, but the strength of this ridging and timing of the next trough along the northern Gulf coast is all up in the air-"From Jeff Gammons Blog"
Where ever he lands its not gonna be good folks,not at all. I was hoping to some Fay chasing while she was here but sometimes it sucks being married is all I got to say on that subject. So for me this will be another arm chair chase. As long as i get a signal i am good to go.
Jess

TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV

2008-08-25T18:44:00.002-04:00

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF BARAHONA TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EAST OF BARAHONA TO SANTO
DOMINGO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING
NEAR OR OVER HAITI ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO MOVING OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE INTENSE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

Posted by: JeffMasters, 4:12 PM EDT on August 25, 2008
Tropical Storm Gustav intensified rapidly from a mere disturbance to a strong tropical storm in just a few short hours. At 1:33 pm EDT, an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft measured a surface pressure of 996 mb at 15.8N, 70.5W, at the center of a closed circulation. Top winds at the aircraft's flight level of 2200 feet were hurricane force, 74 mph. Top winds measured at the surface by the SFMR instrument were 60 mph, on the southeast side of the storm. Large regions of winds in excess of tropical storm force (39 mph) were measured on both the northwest and southeast sides of the storm. Visible satellite loops show a steadily increase in the intensity and areal coverage of Gustav's heavy thunderstorm activity. A cloud-free center (not a true eye) formed late this morning, and Gustav is now starting to build an eyewall of heavy thunderstorms around the cloud-free center. Gustav has an impressive spiral band to its north, and this band has now moved ashore over the southern Dominican Republic, as seen on Punta Cana radar. These rains have also spread to Puerto Rico, as seen on Puerto Rico radar. The Hurricane Hunters have left Gustav, and a new aircraft is scheduled to be in the storm by 2 am Tuesday.

The track forecast for Gustav
The models have come into better agreement on the future track of Gustav. Gustav is likely to continue northwest across the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and is being drawn this direction by a trough of low pressure currently exiting the U.S. East Coast. By Wednesday, the trough is expected to move eastward, leaving Gustav in a region of weak steering currents. The storm will slow down, and is then expected to turn westward, or even slightly south of west, as a ridge of high pressure builds in, forcing Gustav to move parallel to Cuba. The outlier model is the NOGAPS, which takes Gustav northward through the Bahamas and parallel to the U.S. East Coast. For now, I am discounting this solution. The NOGAPS was also the outlier model during Fay, and consistently made the worst track forecasts among the major models. I expect Gustav to track over or just south of Cuba. As Gustav nears western Cuba on Friday, another trough of low pressure moving across the central U.S. may be strong enough to turn Gustav northward, into the Gulf of Mexico. This is the solution given by the GFDL, HWRF, and ECMWF models, which foresee a Category 1 or 2 hurricane just west of Key West, Florida, on Saturday. The GFS, UKMET, and Canadian models disagree, and forecast that the new trough of low pressure will not be strong enough to turn Gustav to the north. Instead, these models predict that Gustav will continue west into the Yucatan Peninsula.

Which set of models do you trust? Both solutions are plausible. I plotted up the errors for some of the computer model forecasts made during Fay. While Fay was over Hispaniola and Cuba, the GFDL model made the best track forecasts, among the four main models used by NHC: GFS, GFDL, NOGAPS, and UKMET. This makes me more inclined to trust the GFDL model's forecasts for Gustav, since Fay and Gustav are similar storms.

The intensity forecast for Gustav
As long as Gustav is over water, it will intensify. Gustav is currently under low wind shear (5 knots) . This shear is expected to remain in the low range (0-10 knots) through Tuesday morning, then increase to a moderate 15 knots by Tuesday afternoon, as Gustav makes its closest approach to the trough of low pressure to its north. Gustav is over the highest heat content waters in the Atlantic. Given these two factors, intensification to a strong Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds is possible before the storm makes landfall in Haiti. Expect the high mountains of Hispaniola to take a significant toll on Gustav. Recall in 2006 that Hurricane Ernesto hit the southwest tip of Haiti as a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Haiti's mountains knocked Ernesto down to a tropical storm with 50 mph winds, which decreased further to 40 mph when the storm crossed over into Cuba. Expect at least a 25 mph decrease in Gustav's winds by Wednesday, after it encounters Haiti. Further weakening is likely if the storm passes close to or over Cuba. By Wednesday, wind shear is expected to fall to the low range (0-10 knots) again, as the trough of low pressure to its north moves off to the east. Once Gustav reaches central or western Cuba, it will be underneath an upper-level anticyclone. These upper atmosphere high pressure systems can greatly intensify a tropical storm, since the clockwise flow of air at the top of the storm acts to efficiently vent away air pulled aloft by the storm's heavy thunderstorms. With high oceanic heat content also present in the waters off western Cuba, the potential for rapid intensification exists should the center stay more than 50 miles from the Cuban coast.

Hurricane Season

2008-08-15T22:44:00.003-04:00

I copyed this from a comment in Jeff Masters blog. It cracked me up so i thought i would share I think u will get a kick out of this.

Hurricane Season

We're about to enter the peak of the hurricane season. Any day now,
you're going to turn on the TV and see a weather person pointing to
some blob out in the Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico and making one of
two basic meteorological statements:

(1) There is no need to panic
(2) We could all be killed

Yes, hurricane season is an exciting time to be in Florida. If you're
new to the area, you're probably wondering what you need to do to
prepare for the possibility that we'll get hit by "the big one".
Based on our experiences, we recommend that you follow this simple
three-step hurricane preparedness plan:

Step 1. - Buy enough food and bottled water to last your family for
at least three days

Step 2 - Put these supplies into your car

Step 3 - Drive to Ohio and remain there until Halloween.
Unfortunately, statistics show that most people will not follow this
sensible plan. Most people will foolishly stay here in Florida.

We'll start with one of the most important hurricane preparedness items:

HOMEOWNERS' INSURANCE

If you own a home, you must have hurricane insurance. Fortunately,
this insurance is cheap and easy to get, as long as your home meets
two basic requirements:

(1) It is reasonably well-built, and

(2) It is located in Ohio

Unfortunately, if your home is located in Florida, or any other area
that might actually be hit by a hurricane, most insurance companies
would prefer not to sell you hurricane insurance, because then they
might be required to pay YOU money, and that is certainly not why
they got into the insurance business in the first place. So you'll
have to scrounge around for an insurance company, which will charge
you an annual premium roughly equal to the replacement value of your
house. At any moment, this company can drop you like used dental
floss.

EVACUATION ROUTE

If you live in a low-lying area, you should have an evacuation route
planned out. (To determine whether you live in a low-lying area, look
at your driver's license; if it says "Florida" you live in a low-lying area).

HURRICANE SUPPLIES

If you don't evacuate, you will need a mess of supplies. Do not buy
them now! Florida tradition requires that you wait until the last
possible minute, then go to the supermarket and get into vicious
fights with strangers over who gets the last can of SPAM.

In addition to food and water, you will need the following supplies:

23 flashlights. At least $167 worth of batteries that turn out, when
the power goes off, to be the wrong size for the flashlights.

Bleach. (No, I don't know what the bleach is for. NOBODY knows what the
bleach is for, but it's traditional, so GET some).

A 55 gallon drum of underarm deodorant.

A big knife that you can strap to your leg. (This will be useless in
a hurricane, but it looks cool).

A large quantity of raw chicken, to placate the alligators. (Ask
anybody who went through a hurricane; after the hurricane, there WILL
be irate alligators).

$35,000 in cash or diamonds so that, after the hurricane passes, you
can buy a generator from a man with no discernible teeth.

BE INFORMED

Of course these are just basic precautions. As the hurricane draws
near, it is vitally important that you keep abreast of the situation
by turning on your television and watching TV reporters in rain
slickers stand right next to the ocean and tell you over and over how
vitally important it is for everybody to stay away from the ocean.

Good luck, and remember: it's great living in Paradise.

TROPICAL STORM FAY

2008-08-15T21:51:00.004-04:00

AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 18.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...
WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT
335 MILES...540 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER
EASTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

SHIP OBERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER
WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY IS OVER HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N...70.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

This one is coming close to home, one can only hope. I know its a sick thing to say but i love these storms and the sound of the wind coming off them is totally amazing!
Plus I am off Tuesday and Wednesday depending on where it makes land fall i will be there with my camera,. I am very excited about this i hope my weather void diminishes.
Here is Fay's visible satellite loop link if you want to watch her. I work tomorrow till 3pm as soon as i get home I will post an update. Until then be good and if u cant be good,be good at it.
Jess
Cloud Stalker